RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 1–2

Bayer Leverkusen

20 Dec 2025

18:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

1 3

FT HT 1–2

Bayer Leverkusen

X. Schlager 35'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

RB Leipzig 1554 1544 ▼ -10

51% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1558 1568 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

57% Win

RB Leipzig 0.30 0.47 ▲ 0.17

30% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.23 0.54 ▲ 0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Xaver Schlager

RB Leipzig

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Xaver Schlager

RB Leipzig

8.9

1 goals

Best Creator

David Raum

RB Leipzig

7.9

7 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

David Raum

RB Leipzig

7.9

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 47% Bayer Leverkusen 53%

Key Stats Snapshot

44 Possession 56

19 Shots 15

7 On Target 8

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Bayer Leverkusen

D W W L W

Smart Insight

Bayer Leverkusen carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
RB Leipzig generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.3%

Draw 24.1%

Away Win 24.7%

Expected Goals 1.94 - 1.30

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-3	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	1-3	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

44 Possession 56

7 Shots 8

19 Shots 15

1 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 8

19 Total Shots 15

44 Ball Possession 56

402 Passes Accurate 550

474 Total Passes 608

85% Passes % 90%

6 Blocked Shots 4

5 Goalkeeper Saves 6

10 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

2 Corner Kicks 8

13 Shots Insidebox 12

6 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.77 expected_goals 2.72

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	20	33	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benno Kaltefleiter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Castello Lukeba	1	1	-	1	4	2	2	-	False	90	23	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	64	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	0	2	-	2	13	9	1	3	False	90	14	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	26	3	38	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Conrad Harder	0	3	1	-	14	7	-	4	False	90	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	2	5	1	1	2
👤 David Raum	0	-	2	-	10	8	-	2	True	90	22	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	7	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	5	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	0	1	3	-	5	1	-	-	False	70	19	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	2	2	2	7	2	1	-	False	89	13	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.6	False	0	3	5	-	-	18	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	20	17	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rômulo	0	-	1	-	6	1	1	-	False	70	40	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Samba Konaté	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	4	-	2	9	4	1	-	False	79	27	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Timo Werner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	36	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	71	-	-	-	2	2	2	3	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	1	1	1	9	5	2	1	False	90	24	M	8.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	34	2	42	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	3

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	2	3	-	9	3	-	1	False	90	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	82	1	88	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Alejo Sarco	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur	1	6	-	3	14	6	2	1	False	83	13	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	31	2	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Axel Tape	1	1	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	13	16	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	13	35	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	33	6	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	1	30	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	0	-	-	-	11	5	3	1	False	90	44	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Jeremiah Mensah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	1	2	1	5	3	-	2	False	57	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	0	-	1	-	8	7	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	80	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	3	2	1
👤 Lucas Vazquez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	18	21	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	0	2	-	1	8	3	3	-	False	90	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	4	70	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Mark Flekken	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.9	False	0	1	6	-	-	25	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Terrier	0	1	2	1	6	4	-	2	False	77	11	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	32	-	34	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	13	42	M	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nathan Tella	0	1	-	1	7	3	1	1	False	77	23	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	4	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	77	14	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	8	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	78	-	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-3	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	1-3	31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.3%

Home Win

24.1%

Draw

24.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.94

Bayer Leverkusen 1.30

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)