Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

HT: 2–1

VfL Wolfsburg

11 Jan 2026

17:30

Allianz Arena

Score Summary

Bayern München

8 1

FT HT 2–1

VfL Wolfsburg

13' D. Pejcinovic

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

71% Win

Bayern München 1626 1631 ▲ 6

29% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 1473 1467 ▼ -6

xPi Expected win probability

65% Win

Bayern München 1.35 1.57 ▲ 0.22

25% Win

VfL Wolfsburg -0.24 -0.50 ▼ -0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Michael Olise

Bayern München

10.0

10.0 rating · 83 min

Most Clinical

Michael Olise

Bayern München

10.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Michael Olise

Bayern München

10.0

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Moritz Jenz

VfL Wolfsburg

4.6

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayern München 77% VfL Wolfsburg 23%

Key Stats Snapshot

68 Possession 32

16 Shots 8

10 On Target 3

Form Context

Bayern München

W W W W W

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L W D

Smart Insight

Bayern München controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bayern München generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.9%

Draw 22.7%

Away Win 19.5%

Expected Goals 2.09 - 1.15

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	8-1	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

68 Possession 32

10 Shots 3

16 Shots 8

1 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 3

10 Shots On Goal 3

16 Total Shots 8

68 Ball Possession 32

656 Passes Accurate 265

714 Total Passes 340

92% Passes % 78%

1 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

7 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

6 Corner Kicks 2

13 Shots Insidebox 3

3 Shots Outsidebox 5

3.30 expected_goals 1.36

-3 goals_prevented -3

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	58	45	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Cassiano Kiala	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Daiber	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	-	1	-	8	4	1	-	False	77	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Felipe Chávez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	38	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	2	1	1	9	5	1	1	False	77	9	F	8.9	False	1	0	-	1	-	23	2	26	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Hiroki Itō	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	13	21	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	91	2	96	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Josip Stanišić	1	1	1	4	2	-	1	False	90	44	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	-	1	7	3	1	-	False	90	27	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	55	1	60	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Lennart Karl	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	57	42	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	21	-	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Leon Goretzka	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	32	8	M	8.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	39	1	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Luis Díaz	5	-	4	15	6	1	-	False	90	14	M	8.2	False	2	0	-	1	-	46	3	51	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Manuel Neuer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	30	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	7	-	4	14	6	2	1	False	83	17	M	10	False	1	0	-	2	-	27	4	34	-	-	-	4	5	-	-	-
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	33	22	D	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	26	-	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Bischof	2	1	-	10	3	1	2	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	89	2	92	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Wisdom Mike	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	36	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

VfL Wolfsburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Zehnter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Daghim	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	26	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christian Eriksen	0	2	2	1	7	4	-	-	False	86	24	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Denis Vavro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	3	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dženan Pejčinović	0	1	-	-	9	4	1	1	False	86	17	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	1	14	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	3
👤 Jan Bürger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamil Grabara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	8	4	-	-	35	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Paredes	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	40	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kilian Fischer	0	2	3	-	10	4	-	-	False	90	2	D	4.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Konstantinos Koulierakis	0	1	-	1	7	5	-	-	False	90	4	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Lovro Majer	0	1	1	1	7	3	1	-	False	77	10	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	1	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Mattias Svanberg	1	1	1	-	8	3	1	2	False	64	32	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Maximilian Arnold	0	3	1	2	10	6	2	3	True	90	27	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Moritz Jenz	0	-	-	-	8	6	1	-	False	90	15	D	4.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Patrick Wimmer	0	1	1	-	8	2	-	-	False	64	39	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Pavao Pervan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pharell Hensel	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	37	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Saël Kumbedi	0	1	3	1	6	2	-	-	False	90	26	D	4.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Vinícius Souza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yannick Gerhardt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	31	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayern München and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	8-1	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg	8-1	31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayern München and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.9%

Home Win

22.7%

Draw

19.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayern München 2.09

VfL Wolfsburg 1.15

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayern München

VfL Wolfsburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)