FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

HT: 1–0

1. FC Heidenheim

Coach : F. Schmidt

13 Jan 2026

20:30

Mewa Arena

Stadium

MEWA ARENA

Mainz, Germany

Capacity: 34034 Surface: grass Address: Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Score Summary

FSV Mainz 05

2 1

FT HT 1–0

1. FC Heidenheim

S. Widmer 30'
N. Amiri 49'

60' S. Schimmer

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1450 1461 ▲ 10

52% Win

1. FC Heidenheim 1463 1453 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.52 0.21 ▲ 0.73

36% Win

1. FC Heidenheim -0.41 -0.34 ▲ 0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nadiem Amiri

FSV Mainz 05

9.0

9.0 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Silvan Widmer

FSV Mainz 05

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Nadiem Amiri

FSV Mainz 05

9.0

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Arijon Ibrahimović

1. FC Heidenheim

7.2

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

FSV Mainz 05 60% 1. FC Heidenheim 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

13 Shots 15

6 On Target 4

Form Context

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

1. FC Heidenheim

D D W L W

Smart Insight

FSV Mainz 05 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors FSV Mainz 05 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.2%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 34.5%

Expected Goals 1.69 - 1.55

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

42 Possession 58

6 Shots 4

13 Shots 15

0 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 6

6 Shots On Goal 4

13 Total Shots 15

42 Ball Possession 58

255 Passes Accurate 376

348 Total Passes 489

73% Passes % 77%

2 Blocked Shots 5

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

11 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 1

11 Shots Insidebox 10

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.39 expected_goals 1.55

0 goals_prevented 0

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	-	1	-	10	3	1	-	False	59	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	9	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	6.5	False	0	1	3	-	-	12	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	2	-	1	9	7	-	1	False	90	21	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	1	-	8	5	1	1	False	90	31	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Fabio Moreno Fell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	1	2	-	18	4	3	1	False	90	7	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	29	2	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	56	48	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	2	-	1	13	9	-	4	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	1	15	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	0	1	1	-	11	4	2	1	False	89	10	M	9	False	0	0	-	1	-	33	6	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	34	22	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	31	8	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Phillip Tietz	0	1	2	-	24	11	2	2	False	89	20	F	5.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	15	2	28	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Silvan Widmer	1	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	30	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	20	-	28	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	1
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Bell	0	-	1	-	17	8	1	-	False	90	16	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	-
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

1. FC Heidenheim — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrian Beck	0	1	-	1	6	5	1	1	False	32	21	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	3	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Arijon Ibrahimović	0	4	1	1	13	7	-	2	False	90	22	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	35	2	44	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Benedikt Gimber	1	2	-	2	12	5	3	1	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	56	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Diant Ramaj	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.3	False	0	2	4	-	-	35	-	53	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frank Feller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Haktab Omar Traore	0	1	-	1	12	8	-	3	False	90	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	42	2	60	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Jan Schöppner	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	45	3	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Fohrenbach	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	81	19	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Julian Niehues	0	1	-	1	7	6	-	-	False	75	16	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Luca Kerber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marnon Busch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Pieringer	1	3	1	2	11	4	2	1	False	58	18	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Mathias Honsak	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	17	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mikkel Kaufmann	0	1	-	-	11	3	-	1	False	58	29	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Niklas Dorsch	0	2	-	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	30	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Patrick Mainka	0	-	-	-	23	17	-	1	True	90	6	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Sirlord Conteh	0	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	45	31	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schimmer	0	-	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	32	9	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	1	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tim Siersleben	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yannik Wagner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	38	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	2-1	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim	2-1	31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.2%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

34.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 1.69

1. FC Heidenheim 1.55

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim

MEWA ARENA

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)