RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg - Football Platform

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 0–0

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

53' W. Orban
56' Romulo Cardoso

14 Jan 2026

20:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

2 0

FT HT 0–0

SC Freiburg

W. Orban 53'
Romulo Cardoso 56'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

RB Leipzig 1544 1555 ▲ 11

52% Win

SC Freiburg 1560 1549 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

RB Leipzig 0.22 0.47 ▲ 0.26

33% Win

SC Freiburg 0.37 0.12 ▼ -0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

David Raum

RB Leipzig

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Willi Orban

RB Leipzig

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

David Raum

RB Leipzig

8.5

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

David Raum

RB Leipzig

8.5

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 88% SC Freiburg 12%

Key Stats Snapshot

64 Possession 36

21 Shots 3

7 On Target 1

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

SC Freiburg

W L W W L

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig controlled momentum for most phases of play.
RB Leipzig generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors RB Leipzig after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.1%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 29.1%

Expected Goals 1.82 - 1.42

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-0	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

64 Possession 36

7 Shots 1

21 Shots 3

0 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 1

7 Shots On Goal 1

21 Total Shots 3

64 Ball Possession 36

487 Passes Accurate 237

552 Total Passes 313

88% Passes % 76%

8 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

12 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

7 Corner Kicks 2

19 Shots Insidebox 3

2 Shots Outsidebox 0

2.48 expected_goals 0.17

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	5	-	3	10	8	-	5	False	30	7	M	7.5	True	0	-	-	-	17	1	20	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Assan Ouédraogo	-	-	-	5	2	1	2	False	60	20	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Castello Lukeba	-	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	88	23	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	78	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	2	-	1	12	7	2	1	False	88	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	16	2	25	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Conrad Harder	2	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	16	11	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	3	3	1	15	6	2	1	True	90	22	D	8.5	False	1	-	-	-	74	5	80	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	5	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	6	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	13	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	44	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Péter Gulácsi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	-	-	38	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	1	-	-	8	4	3	2	False	90	17	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	59	2	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Rômulo	-	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	74	40	F	6.9	False	0	-	1	-	19	2	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Tidiam Gomis	7	-	3	13	5	-	1	False	60	27	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	-	-	-	15	7	2	1	False	90	4	D	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	69	1	76	-	-	-	1	2	1	3	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	1	-	-	9	4	1	-	False	90	24	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Yan Diomande	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	30	49	F	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	17	3	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	0	-	2	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Bruno Ogbus	0	-	1	-	7	4	-	1	False	90	43	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	2
👤 Christian Günter	0	-	1	-	7	4	-	-	True	85	30	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	12	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	0	-	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	25	31	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	1	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	25	19	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johan Manzambi	0	2	2	-	15	7	3	3	False	90	44	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Jordy Makengo	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	12	33	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Junior Adamu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Höler	0	-	-	-	11	9	-	4	False	65	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	8	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Kübler	0	-	1	-	13	5	3	-	False	90	17	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	3
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	1	2	-	1	13	7	2	1	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	3
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.3	False	0	2	5	-	-	29	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	0	2	-	1	8	5	1	2	False	85	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Philipp Treu	1	3	-	1	10	5	2	-	False	65	29	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	35	32	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yuito Suzuki	1	-	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	55	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and SC Freiburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-0	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg	2-0	31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and SC Freiburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.1%

Home Win

24.8%

Draw

29.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.82

SC Freiburg 1.42

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

SC Freiburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)