1. FC Köln vs Bayern München

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

HT: 1–1

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

14 Jan 2026

20:30

RheinEnergieStadion

Score Summary

1. FC Köln

1 3

FT HT 1–1

Bayern München

L. Maina 41'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

28% Win

1. FC Köln 1468 1463 ▼ -6

72% Win

Bayern München 1631 1637 ▲ 6

xPi Expected win probability

28% Win

1. FC Köln -0.10 -0.03 ▲ 0.06

61% Win

Bayern München 1.37 1.57 ▲ 0.20

Top Performers

Top Rated

Manuel Neuer

Bayern München

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Linton Maina

1. FC Köln

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Luis Díaz

Bayern München

6.9

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Tom Krauß

1. FC Köln

7.2

5 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Köln 27% Bayern München 73%

Key Stats Snapshot

28 Possession 72

8 Shots 19

3 On Target 8

Form Context

1. FC Köln

D D W D L

Bayern München

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Bayern München carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayern München produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 22.2%

Draw 23.5%

Away Win 54.3%

Expected Goals 1.23 - 2.01

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	1-3	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

28 Possession 72

3 Shots 8

8 Shots 19

3 Offsides 5

3 Shots Off Goal 8

3 Shots On Goal 8

8 Total Shots 19

28 Ball Possession 72

174 Passes Accurate 604

248 Total Passes 680

70% Passes % 89%

2 Blocked Shots 3

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

3 Fouls 4

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

4 Corner Kicks 6

5 Shots Insidebox 14

3 Shots Outsidebox 5

0.72 expected_goals 1.50

0 goals_prevented 0

1. FC Köln — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alessio Castro-Montes	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cenk Özkaçar	-	1	-	12	6	1	-	False	90	39	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Denis Huseinbašić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Kainz	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fynn Schenten	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	23	40	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	90	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jakub Kamiński	2	-	1	6	5	-	-	False	90	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	4
👤 Jan Thielmann	1	2	1	6	4	-	-	False	85	29	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Kristoffer Lund	1	1	-	7	4	-	1	False	78	32	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Linton Maina	1	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	67	37	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Luca Waldschmidt	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marius Bulter	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	30	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Schwabe	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	3	5	-	-	22	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ragnar Ache	-	-	-	23	13	-	-	False	78	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	6	1	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ron-Robert Zieler	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Said El Mala	3	1	1	7	1	-	-	False	78	13	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Sebastian Sebulonsen	3	3	1	7	2	-	-	False	90	28	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Tom Krauß	-	1	-	10	8	1	3	False	90	5	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	5
👤 Youssoupha Niang	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	11	38	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	18	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	-	-	-	8	5	-	-	False	90	45	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	94	1	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Cassiano Kiala	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Daiber	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	23	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Felipe Chávez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	2	-	1	11	5	1	-	False	90	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	27	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Hiroki Itō	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	88	21	D	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	66	2	73	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	1	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	67	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kim Min-jae	-	-	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	70	-	74	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	6	-	2	14	8	-	-	False	90	27	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
👤 Lennart Karl	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	23	42	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Leon Goretzka	1	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	1	74	-	-	-	-	3	1	2	-
👤 Luis Díaz	7	-	5	11	6	-	1	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	4	48	4	56	-	-	-	-	3	-	1	-
👤 Manuel Neuer	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	20	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	3	3	1	10	4	1	2	False	82	17	M	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	43	2	62	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	22	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	1	1	-	6	1	1	-	False	67	7	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	2	33	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Tom Bischof	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	20	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wisdom Mike	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Köln and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	1-3	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln	1-3	31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Köln and Bayern München

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

22.2%

Home Win

23.5%

Draw

54.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 1.23

Bayern München 2.01

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Köln

Bayern München

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)