1. FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05 - Football Platform

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

HT: 0–1

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

29' S. Bell
57' R. Ache
85' R. Ache

17 Jan 2026

15:30

RheinEnergieStadion

Score Summary

1. FC Köln

2 1

FT HT 0–1

FSV Mainz 05

R. Ache 57'
R. Ache 85'

29' S. Bell

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

1. FC Köln 1463 1473 ▲ 10

50% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1461 1451 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

61% Win

1. FC Köln -0.08 -0.03 ▲ 0.05

28% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.54 0.21 ▲ 0.75

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ragnar Ache

1. FC Köln

8.9

8.9 rating · 45 min

Most Clinical

Ragnar Ache

1. FC Köln

8.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Alessio Castro-Montes

1. FC Köln

7.7

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jahmai Simpson-Pusey

1. FC Köln

7.3

1 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Köln 46% FSV Mainz 05 54%

Key Stats Snapshot

62 Possession 38

20 Shots 10

6 On Target 7

Form Context

1. FC Köln

D D W D L

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

FSV Mainz 05 carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
1. FC Köln generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors 1. FC Köln after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 54.7%

Draw 23.4%

Away Win 21.9%

Expected Goals 2.01 - 1.23

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

62 Possession 38

6 Shots 7

20 Shots 10

0 Offsides 4

8 Shots Off Goal 3

6 Shots On Goal 7

20 Total Shots 10

62 Ball Possession 38

374 Passes Accurate 193

473 Total Passes 293

79% Passes % 66%

6 Blocked Shots 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

6 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 4

9 Corner Kicks 5

15 Shots Insidebox 6

5 Shots Outsidebox 4

2.08 expected_goals 1.52

0 goals_prevented 0

1. FC Köln — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alessio Castro-Montes	0	-	1	-	8	4	1	1	False	83	17	M	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	49	4	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Cenk Özkaçar	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	45	39	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Martel	1	-	-	-	8	5	1	1	False	45	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Florian Kainz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fynn Schenten	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	22	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Jakub Kamiński	0	1	-	-	13	5	-	1	False	90	16	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Jan Thielmann	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	29	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kristoffer Lund	0	2	-	-	7	1	-	-	False	45	32	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Linton Maina	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	73	37	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Luca Waldschmidt	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	17	7	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Bulter	1	1	1	-	21	8	2	3	False	90	30	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	20	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Schwabe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	1	5	-	-	33	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ragnar Ache	0	3	-	2	22	12	-	1	False	45	9	F	8.9	True	0	0	-	2	-	9	3	15	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Rav van den Berg	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ron-Robert Zieler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Said El Mala	1	5	-	2	14	7	2	1	False	90	13	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	28	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	3
👤 Sebastian Sebulonsen	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	28	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Tom Krauß	1	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	45	5	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	-	False	45	18	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	1	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	29	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	9	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.2	False	0	2	4	-	-	17	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	-	-	-	14	9	1	2	False	90	21	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	4
👤 Dominik Kohr	0	-	2	-	13	5	1	2	False	90	31	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Fabio Moreno Fell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	36	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jae-sung Lee	1	-	1	-	6	2	2	-	False	74	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	-	False	90	48	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	3	2	3
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	1	False	89	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	1	-	8	5	-	-	False	16	15	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Maxim Leitsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	1	2	-	14	3	1	-	False	89	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	3	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Phillip Tietz	1	4	-	3	18	9	1	-	False	90	20	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	3	18	-	34	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Silas	0	2	-	-	8	2	-	-	False	61	26	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	1	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	True	90	30	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Bell	0	-	-	-	8	7	-	1	False	74	16	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	-	26	-	-	-	1	1	2	1	1
👤 William Bøving	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	16	14	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Köln and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	2-1	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln	2-1	31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Köln and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

54.7%

Home Win

23.4%

Draw

21.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 2.01

FSV Mainz 05 1.23

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Köln

FSV Mainz 05

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)