RB Leipzig vs Bayern München - Football Platform

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 1–0

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

17 Jan 2026

18:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

1 5

FT HT 1–0

Bayern München

Romulo Cardoso 20'

50' S. Gnabry
67' H. Kane
82' J. Tah
85' A. Pavlovic
88' M. Olise

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

38% Win

RB Leipzig 1555 1547 ▼ -8

62% Win

Bayern München 1637 1645 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

32% Win

RB Leipzig 0.31 0.47 ▲ 0.16

53% Win

Bayern München 1.35 1.57 ▲ 0.22

Top Performers

Top Rated

Michael Olise

Bayern München

10.0

10.0 rating · 34 min

Most Clinical

Rômulo

RB Leipzig

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Michael Olise

Bayern München

10.0

4 key passes · 3 assists

Defensive Leader

Nicolas Seiwald

RB Leipzig

6.2

0 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 25% Bayern München 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

17 Shots 19

4 On Target 12

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Bayern München

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Bayern München carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 26.9%

Draw 24.5%

Away Win 48.5%

Expected Goals 1.36 - 1.88

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	1-5	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-5	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

42 Possession 58

4 Shots 12

17 Shots 19

0 Offsides 2

8 Shots Off Goal 1

4 Shots On Goal 12

17 Total Shots 19

42 Ball Possession 58

352 Passes Accurate 532

432 Total Passes 610

81% Passes % 87%

5 Blocked Shots 6

7 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

5 Corner Kicks 9

14 Shots Insidebox 16

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.45 expected_goals 4.56

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	1	33	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	6	-	5	12	9	-	2	False	89	7	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	-	4	-	1	2
👤 Benjamin Henrichs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	-	False	90	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	73	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	0	-	1	-	10	5	1	1	False	84	14	M	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	30	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Conrad Harder	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 David Raum	0	2	1	1	8	4	-	-	True	90	22	D	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	28	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	6	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	1	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	81	13	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	1	5	-
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.3	False	0	5	7	-	-	32	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	1	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	17	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	2	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Rômulo	0	3	-	2	7	5	-	1	False	81	40	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	2	21	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	27	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	4	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	2	-	1	6	3	1	-	False	90	24	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Yan Diomande	0	6	-	2	10	3	1	1	False	90	49	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	3	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	1	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	90	45	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	56	-	61	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Alphonso Davies	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	19	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 David Daiber	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	-	2	-	12	6	2	-	False	90	2	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	61	1	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Felipe Chávez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	-	-	-	6	4	-	2	False	90	9	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	2	25	2	34	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Hiroki Itō	-	1	-	4	2	2	-	False	86	21	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Jamal Musiala	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	10	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	8	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Urbig	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	4	D	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	66	-	69	-	-	-	1	1	2	3	1
👤 Joshua Kimmich	1	3	1	7	2	-	-	False	45	6	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	36	2	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kim Min-jae	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	10	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennart Karl	2	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	56	42	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Leon Goretzka	1	1	1	7	5	-	2	False	45	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Luis Díaz	1	-	-	9	5	-	2	False	90	14	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	52	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	2
👤 Manuel Neuer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	1	3	-	-	31	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	3	1	1	5	2	-	-	False	34	17	M	10	True	3	0	-	1	-	24	4	27	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	87	7	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	38	1	39	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Tom Bischof	-	3	-	7	2	1	-	False	81	20	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	1-5	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-5	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Bayern München

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

26.9%

Home Win

24.5%

Draw

48.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.36

Bayern München 1.88

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

Bayern München

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)