FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg - Football Platform

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

HT: 0–1

VfL Wolfsburg

24 Jan 2026

15:30

Mewa Arena

Stadium

MEWA ARENA

Mainz, Germany

Capacity: 34034 Surface: grass Address: Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Score Summary

FSV Mainz 05

3 1

FT HT 0–1

VfL Wolfsburg

P. Tietz 68'
S. Bell 73'
N. Amiri 83'

3' M. Amoura

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1451 1461 ▲ 11

54% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 1476 1466 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.51 0.21 ▲ 0.72

38% Win

VfL Wolfsburg -0.22 -0.50 ▼ -0.28

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nadiem Amiri

FSV Mainz 05

8.0

8.0 rating · 25 min

Most Clinical

Stefan Bell

FSV Mainz 05

6.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Paul Nebel

FSV Mainz 05

6.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Stefan Posch

FSV Mainz 05

7.3

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

FSV Mainz 05 82% VfL Wolfsburg 18%

Key Stats Snapshot

59 Possession 41

20 Shots 7

9 On Target 2

Form Context

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L W D

Smart Insight

FSV Mainz 05 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
FSV Mainz 05 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors FSV Mainz 05 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.3%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 37.4%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.62

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

59 Possession 41

9 Shots 2

20 Shots 7

2 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 3

9 Shots On Goal 2

20 Total Shots 7

59 Ball Possession 41

333 Passes Accurate 216

425 Total Passes 319

78% Passes % 68%

6 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

8 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

15 Corner Kicks 1

16 Shots Insidebox 4

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

3.82 expected_goals 0.73

1 goals_prevented 1

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	4	-	2	23	5	-	-	False	89	17	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	0	-	0	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	6.7	False	0	1	1	-	-	19	-	28	-	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	1	-	1	9	4	-	-	False	65	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	34	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	1	-	8	4	2	2	False	90	31	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	57	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	1	-	-	7	5	-	2	False	89	7	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	0	-	0	1	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Kacper Potulski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	-	2	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	39	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	8	15	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	0	3	-	2	3	2	-	-	False	25	10	M	8	True	1	0	-	1	-	7	2	7	-	0	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nelson Weiper	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	3	-	2	12	7	-	1	False	65	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	4	31	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Phillip Tietz	0	1	-	1	17	6	1	3	False	89	20	F	6	False	0	0	-	1	-	5	1	16	-	1	-	0	-	4	4	-	-	-
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	25	2	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Silas	0	1	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	8	26	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	2	-	1	9	5	-	-	True	90	30	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	31	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Bell	1	-	1	-	13	8	2	1	False	90	16	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	28	1	39	-	0	-	0	-	2	5	-	1	-
👤 Stefan Posch	1	3	-	3	14	11	1	1	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	57	1	68	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	14	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1

VfL Wolfsburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Zehnter	0	1	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	90	25	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Adam Daghim	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	24	11	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christian Eriksen	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	84	24	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	1
👤 Denis Vavro	0	-	1	-	12	8	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Dženan Pejčinović	0	1	-	-	10	5	3	1	False	90	17	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	19	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jan Bürger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Lindstrøm	0	2	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	15	19	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kamil Grabara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	3	5	-	-	11	-	19	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kento Shiogai	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	14	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kilian Fischer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lovro Majer	0	2	3	1	6	2	-	1	False	15	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathys Angely	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattias Svanberg	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	14	32	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mohamed Amoura	0	3	5	-	17	6	1	-	False	66	9	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Moritz Jenz	0	-	-	-	13	11	1	-	False	90	15	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Patrick Wimmer	1	6	1	3	19	7	1	1	False	75	39	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Saël Kumbedi	0	1	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	26	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	27	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Vinícius Souza	1	-	-	-	13	11	2	2	False	75	5	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	20	1	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Yannick Gerhardt	0	-	-	-	12	5	2	-	True	84	31	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	3-1	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg	3-1	31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.3%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

37.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 1.62

VfL Wolfsburg 1.62

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FSV Mainz 05

VfL Wolfsburg

MEWA ARENA

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)