FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig - Football Platform

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

HT: 0–0

RB Leipzig

66' Y. Diomande
90' M. Kaars

27 Jan 2026

20:30

Millerntor-Stadion

Stadium

Millerntor-Stadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 29564 Surface: grass Address: Harald-Stender-Platz 1

Score Summary

FC St. Pauli

1 1

FT HT 0–0

RB Leipzig

M. Kaars 90'

66' Y. Diomande

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

36% Win

FC St. Pauli 1451 1453 ▲ 3

64% Win

RB Leipzig 1554 1551 ▼ -3

xPi Expected win probability

34% Win

FC St. Pauli -0.55 -0.58 ▼ -0.03

50% Win

RB Leipzig 0.24 0.47 ▲ 0.23

Top Performers

Top Rated

Yan Diomande

RB Leipzig

8.2

8.2 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Martijn Kaars

FC St. Pauli

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Yan Diomande

RB Leipzig

8.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Hauke Wahl

FC St. Pauli

7.2

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC St. Pauli 29% RB Leipzig 71%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

7 Shots 12

2 On Target 5

Form Context

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
RB Leipzig produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 29.3%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 45.8%

Expected Goals 1.42 - 1.81

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-1	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

46 Possession 54

2 Shots 5

7 Shots 12

5 Offsides 3

3 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 5

7 Total Shots 12

46 Ball Possession 54

398 Passes Accurate 508

513 Total Passes 603

78% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 2

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

6 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 3

3 Shots Insidebox 9

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.45 expected_goals 1.04

0 goals_prevented 0

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	1	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	90	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Ben Voll	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danel Sinani	1	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	76	10	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	1	42	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Eric Smith	2	1	-	7	2	2	-	True	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Hauke Wahl	-	-	-	9	7	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	49	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	4	3
👤 Jackson Irvine	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	13	7	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 James Sands	-	-	-	6	5	-	2	False	77	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jannik Thomas Robatsch	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	2	2	1	6	3	-	-	False	77	16	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	1	30	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Karol Mets	1	1	1	10	8	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Lars Ritzka	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Oppie	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manolis Saliakas	2	2	2	7	4	-	-	False	87	2	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Martijn Kaars	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	23	19	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	9	-	-	1	1	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	14	28	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Rasmussen	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	20	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Vasilj	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	7.5	False	0	1	5	-	-	39	-	47	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ricky-Jade Jones	1	1	1	15	5	1	1	False	67	26	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	4	1	10	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Tomoya Ando	1	1	-	11	8	-	-	False	90	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	59	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	4

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	5	1	3	11	4	-	-	False	85	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	25	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Benjamin Henrichs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	39	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	1	-	1	-	11	4	2	1	False	85	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	2	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Conrad Harder	0	1	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	26	11	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	0	1	1	-	5	1	2	-	True	90	22	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	72	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	95	-	103	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	6	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	13	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	1	-	-	35	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	1	False	90	17	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	1	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rômulo	0	1	-	-	11	3	-	1	False	64	40	F	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	10	27	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	1	1	-	9	7	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	99	-	115	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	3	-	2	7	4	-	2	False	90	24	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	23	2	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Yan Diomande	0	9	1	5	15	7	-	-	False	89	49	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	29	4	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-1	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	1-1	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

29.3%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

45.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.42

RB Leipzig 1.81

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC St. Pauli

RB Leipzig

Millerntor-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)