RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 - Football Platform

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 1–1

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

40' C. Harder
45' N. Amiri
49' Silas

31 Jan 2026

15:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

1 2

FT HT 1–1

FSV Mainz 05

C. Harder 40'

45' N. Amiri
49' Silas

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

63% Win

RB Leipzig 1551 1539 ▼ -13

37% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1461 1474 ▲ 13

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

RB Leipzig 0.20 0.47 ▲ 0.27

27% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.36 0.21 ▲ 0.57

Top Performers

Top Rated

Silas

FSV Mainz 05

8.2

8.2 rating · 68 min

Most Clinical

Conrad Harder

RB Leipzig

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Antonio Nusa

RB Leipzig

8.0

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Silvan Widmer

FSV Mainz 05

6.6

4 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 50% FSV Mainz 05 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

70 Possession 30

15 Shots 11

4 On Target 4

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
RB Leipzig generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors FSV Mainz 05 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 56.1%

Draw 23.1%

Away Win 20.8%

Expected Goals 2.05 - 1.19

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-2	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

70 Possession 30

4 Shots 4

15 Shots 11

2 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 4

15 Total Shots 11

70 Ball Possession 30

604 Passes Accurate 206

700 Total Passes 300

86% Passes % 69%

5 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

4 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

5 Corner Kicks 4

14 Shots Insidebox 8

1 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.74 expected_goals 2.33

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	8	1	5	19	9	-	3	False	90	7	M	8	False	1	0	-	-	1	33	3	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Henrichs	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	31	39	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Conrad Harder	-	-	-	12	5	1	2	False	90	11	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	13	1	16	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	-	2	-	7	3	2	-	True	90	22	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	92	3	104	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	59	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	-	-	-	7	6	-	1	False	31	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Johan Bakayoko	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	10	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	1	-	-	6	5	-	-	False	86	13	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	1	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Péter Gulácsi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	2	2	-	-	25	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	1	1	-	6	2	-	-	False	59	17	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Rômulo	3	-	1	13	5	-	1	False	72	40	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Tidiam Gomis	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	18	27	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	-	1	-	14	9	-	1	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	78	1	88	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	1	-	1	7	4	-	1	False	90	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yan Diomande	5	-	2	13	6	-	3	False	90	49	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	3	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	14	17	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.6	False	0	1	3	-	-	18	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Gleiber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	-	3	-	14	7	2	1	False	90	21	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	1	2	-	8	4	-	-	False	90	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	21	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	3	3
👤 Kacper Potulski	1	-	-	-	10	3	2	-	False	90	48	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	3	-
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	-	-	-	12	11	-	1	False	90	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	42	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	2	5
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	18	15	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nadiem Amiri	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	72	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	25	1	29	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nelson Weiper	1	1	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	8	44	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	8	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Phillip Tietz	0	2	-	1	16	7	1	1	False	82	20	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	25	-	-	0	1	-	3	-	1	-
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	2	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silas	0	4	1	4	14	7	-	1	False	68	26	F	8.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	10	1	15	-	-	0	-	2	2	1	-	2
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	1	-	-	9	4	2	-	True	82	30	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	4
👤 Stefan Bell	1	-	-	-	11	6	2	-	False	90	16	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Stefan Posch	1	-	2	-	9	5	2	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-2	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	1-2	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

56.1%

Home Win

23.1%

Draw

20.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 2.05

FSV Mainz 05 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)