FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV - Football Platform

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

HT: 1–0

Hamburger SV

42' N. Amiri
64' F. Vieira

20 Feb 2026

20:30

Mewa Arena

Stadium

MEWA ARENA

Mainz, Germany

Capacity: 34034 Surface: grass Address: Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Score Summary

FSV Mainz 05

1 1

FT HT 1–0

Hamburger SV

N. Amiri 42'

64' F. Vieira

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1477 1478 ▲ 1

54% Win

Hamburger SV 1507 1506 ▼ -1

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.16 0.21 ▲ 0.37

30% Win

Hamburger SV -0.14 -0.62 ▼ -0.48

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nadiem Amiri

FSV Mainz 05

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Nadiem Amiri

FSV Mainz 05

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer

Hamburger SV

6.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Dominik Kohr

FSV Mainz 05

7.2

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

FSV Mainz 05 38% Hamburger SV 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

45 Possession 55

17 Shots 14

3 On Target 5

Form Context

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Hamburger SV

L D L L L

Smart Insight

Hamburger SV carried stronger momentum across the match profile.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.0%

Draw 24.1%

Away Win 24.8%

Expected Goals 1.93 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

45 Possession 55

3 Shots 5

17 Shots 14

2 Offsides 1

9 Shots Off Goal 7

3 Shots On Goal 5

17 Total Shots 14

45 Ball Possession 55

232 Passes Accurate 337

315 Total Passes 406

74% Passes % 83%

5 Blocked Shots 2

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

16 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

7 Corner Kicks 2

14 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 9

1.53 expected_goals 0.70

0 goals_prevented 0

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	6.9	False	0	1	4	-	-	21	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Gleiber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	3	-	2	11	6	1	1	False	90	21	M	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	-	-	9	6	2	2	False	59	31	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	3	4	1	14	6	-	1	False	86	7	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Kacper Potulski	1	-	-	-	14	5	5	1	False	90	48	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	2	1	2	10	7	1	1	False	90	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxim Leitsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	0	3	1	1	6	3	-	1	True	90	10	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	1	20	3	27	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	1	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	31	22	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Paul Nebel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	2	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Phillip Tietz	0	1	1	-	20	9	2	2	False	90	20	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	23	-	-	-	-	4	-	1	2
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	2	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sheraldo Becker	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	45	23	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	1	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Silas	1	3	-	2	8	3	2	1	False	45	26	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Posch	0	-	1	-	13	10	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Hamburger SV — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bakery Jatta	0	-	1	-	6	1	2	1	False	65	18	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Damion Downs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Elfadli	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Fernandes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	39	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fábio Vieira	0	3	-	3	7	4	-	-	False	90	20	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	38	-	46	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Giorgi Gocholeishvili	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	2	16	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean-Luc Dompé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordan Torunarigha	0	-	1	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	25	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Miro Muheim	1	2	1	1	12	8	1	4	False	88	28	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nicolai Remberg	1	-	2	-	8	4	1	1	False	90	21	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Nicolás Capaldo	0	3	1	1	18	10	1	4	True	90	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	36	1	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Otto Stange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philip Otele	0	3	-	2	11	4	2	-	False	76	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	0	3	1	1	12	5	1	1	False	87	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	4	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Rayan Philippe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	14	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Robert Glatzel	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	65	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Sander Tangvik	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warmed Omari	0	-	1	-	11	5	1	2	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	2
👤 William Mikelbrencis	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	25	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Yussuf Poulsen	0	-	-	-	10	5	2	1	False	25	15	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	1-1	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV	1-1	31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.0%

Home Win

24.1%

Draw

24.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 1.93

Hamburger SV 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV

MEWA ARENA

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)