Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga

Union Berlin

HT: 1–0

Bayer Leverkusen

28' R. Khedira

21 Feb 2026

15:30

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Stadium

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Berlin, Germany

Capacity: 22467 Surface: grass Address: Hämmerlingstraße 80-88, Köpenick

Score Summary

Union Berlin

1 0

FT HT 1–0

Bayer Leverkusen

R. Khedira 28'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

36% Win

Union Berlin 1480 1493 ▲ 13

64% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1580 1567 ▼ -13

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

Union Berlin 0.20 -0.29 ▼ -0.49

37% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.43 0.54 ▲ 0.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Derrick Köhn

Union Berlin

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Rani Khedira

Union Berlin

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Alejandro Grimaldo

Bayer Leverkusen

7.0

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

András Schäfer

Union Berlin

7.3

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Union Berlin 80% Bayer Leverkusen 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

35 Possession 65

8 Shots 16

4 On Target 1

Form Context

Union Berlin

L D L L L

Bayer Leverkusen

D W W L W

Smart Insight

Union Berlin controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bayer Leverkusen produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Union Berlin after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.3%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 35.4%

Expected Goals 1.67 - 1.57

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	1-0	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

35 Possession 65

4 Shots 1

8 Shots 16

1 Offsides 1

1 Shots Off Goal 10

4 Shots On Goal 1

8 Total Shots 16

35 Ball Possession 65

210 Passes Accurate 471

303 Total Passes 549

69% Passes % 86%

3 Blocked Shots 5

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

15 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 5

7 Shots Insidebox 6

1 Shots Outsidebox 10

0.55 expected_goals 0.94

0 goals_prevented 0

Union Berlin — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Král	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	19	33	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aljoscha Kemlein	0	-	2	-	6	1	1	-	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	33	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrej Ilić	1	4	-	3	23	12	1	1	False	86	23	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Andrik Markgraf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 András Schäfer	0	2	1	2	16	10	2	2	False	85	13	F	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	-	-	-	2	2	1	1	4
👤 Christopher Trimmel	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	-	False	79	28	D	7.5	True	0	-	-	-	15	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Danilho Doekhi	0	-	-	-	9	7	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 David Preu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derrick Köhn	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	90	39	M	8	False	0	-	-	-	23	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Frederik Ronnow	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	3	-	-	10	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ilyas Ansah	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	11	10	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Janik Haberer	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	11	19	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leopold Querfeld	1	-	1	-	7	1	3	-	False	90	14	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Livan Burcu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheo Raab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Burke	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rani Khedira	0	1	1	-	11	3	3	1	True	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	-	1	1	6	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Stanley N'Soki	1	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	34	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Tim Skarke	0	2	-	2	2	2	-	-	False	12	21	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Woo-Yeong Jeong	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	71	11	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	15	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	1	1	-	7	2	-	-	False	90	24	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	83	-	92	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	3	1	2	12	6	-	1	False	90	20	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	3	60	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	3
👤 Arthur	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	61	13	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Christian Kofane	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	60	35	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	-	2	-	19	9	2	1	False	90	12	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	82	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Ernest Poku	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	29	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Exequiel Palacios	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	2	False	61	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	3	-	2	15	9	1	5	False	90	30	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	36	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	28	G	6.3	False	0	1	3	-	-	8	-	15	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	7	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Omlin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	0	-	-	-	8	5	-	-	False	68	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Vazquez	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	29	21	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	0	3	1	1	9	3	-	2	False	81	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Martin Terrier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	30	14	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	1	-	2	-	9	2	2	1	True	90	8	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	73	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Tim Oermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	1-0	31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin	1-0	31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.3%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

35.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Union Berlin 1.67

Bayer Leverkusen 1.57

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Union Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)