RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 2–0

Borussia Dortmund

21 Feb 2026

18:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

2 2

FT HT 2–0

Borussia Dortmund

C. Baumgartner 20'
C. Baumgartner 39'

50' Romulo Cardoso
90' F. Silva

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

42% Win

RB Leipzig 1537 1539 ▲ 2

58% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1595 1593 ▼ -2

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

RB Leipzig 0.25 0.47 ▲ 0.22

35% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.49 0.66 ▲ 0.17

Top Performers

Top Rated

Yan Diomande

RB Leipzig

9.0

9.0 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

7.2

2 goals

Best Creator

David Raum

RB Leipzig

8.0

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Waldemar Anton

Borussia Dortmund

7.3

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 38% Borussia Dortmund 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

13 Shots 11

3 On Target 5

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund carried stronger momentum across the match profile.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.7%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 31.3%

Expected Goals 1.77 - 1.47

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-2	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

55 Possession 45

3 Shots 5

13 Shots 11

0 Offsides 4

6 Shots Off Goal 2

3 Shots On Goal 5

13 Total Shots 11

55 Ball Possession 45

374 Passes Accurate 279

450 Total Passes 366

83% Passes % 76%

4 Blocked Shots 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 4

6 Corner Kicks 2

12 Shots Insidebox 10

1 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.90 expected_goals 1.61

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	3	-	1	6	4	-	3	False	25	7	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Henrichs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	39	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	0	1	-	1	12	6	2	4	False	82	10	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Castello Lukeba	1	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	23	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	0	-	-	-	13	6	4	1	False	90	14	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	21	1	30	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	3
👤 Conrad Harder	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	9	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	1	-	1	-	7	1	2	1	True	90	22	D	8	False	1	0	-	-	-	51	4	60	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	6	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leopold Zingerle	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	8	False	0	2	4	-	-	32	-	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	35	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	-	False	90	13	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	39	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Ridle Baku	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	2	False	82	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	1
👤 Rômulo	1	1	-	1	12	7	2	1	False	81	40	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	1	-	13	8	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	65	24	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yan Diomande	0	4	1	3	14	7	-	2	False	89	49	F	9	False	1	0	-	-	-	29	3	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	2	-	1	4	3	1	-	False	25	17	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	-	2	-	8	4	-	1	False	90	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Elias Benkara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	1	1	-	8	2	2	1	False	65	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Fábio Silva	1	1	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	19	21	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	True	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	2	1	-	-	23	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	90	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Julian Brandt	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	26	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	1	1	-	1	9	4	4	1	False	90	26	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	25	3	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	27	F	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	1	4	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Reggiani	1	-	1	-	8	4	2	-	False	64	49	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	1	-	7	3	-	1	False	76	20	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	-	15	-	-	-	1	2	2	1	-
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	2	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	64	14	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	1	-	-	-	14	7	4	3	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Samuele Inacio	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	-	-	-	12	5	-	-	False	71	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	-	-	-	14	9	2	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
👤 Yan Couto	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	26	2	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-2	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.7%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

31.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.77

Borussia Dortmund 1.47

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)