Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 1–0

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

28 Feb 2026

18:30

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

2 3

FT HT 1–0

Bayern München

N. Schlotterbeck 26'
D. Svensson 83'

54' H. Kane
70' H. Kane
87' J. Kimmich

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

39% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1582 1575 ▼ -8

61% Win

Bayern München 1663 1671 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

34% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.43 0.66 ▲ 0.23

48% Win

Bayern München 1.36 1.57 ▲ 0.21

Top Performers

Top Rated

Harry Kane

Bayern München

8.6

8.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Harry Kane

Bayern München

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Michael Olise

Bayern München

6.3

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Josip Stanišić

Bayern München

7.0

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 25% Bayern München 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

33 Possession 67

10 Shots 14

2 On Target 6

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Bayern München

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Bayern München carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayern München produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 30.5%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 44.5%

Expected Goals 1.45 - 1.78

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-3	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	2-3	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

33 Possession 67

2 Shots 6

10 Shots 14

3 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 4

2 Shots On Goal 6

10 Total Shots 14

33 Ball Possession 67

206 Passes Accurate 512

288 Total Passes 590

72% Passes % 87%

5 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

15 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

5 Corner Kicks 2

8 Shots Insidebox 9

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.05 expected_goals 2.06

0 goals_prevented 0

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Almugera Kabar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	3	2	1	11	4	2	-	False	90	24	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	1	-	12	1	18	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	2
👤 Emre Can	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	2	True	44	23	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	1	-	-	9	6	1	1	False	75	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Fábio Silva	0	-	-	-	11	4	2	-	False	67	21	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	2	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	3	3	-	-	16	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	15	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Julian Brandt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	10	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	6	3	1	15	3	2	1	False	74	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Luca Reggiani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	1	1	1	10	8	1	2	False	90	20	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	17	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	2	False	75	14	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	1	-	-	-	7	1	3	-	False	90	4	D	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	26	-	37	1	-	-	1	1	2	1	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	46	5	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Samuele Inacio	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	15	40	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	23	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Yan Couto	0	3	3	2	11	4	1	-	False	90	2	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	1	2	-	6	1	1	1	False	90	45	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	1	71	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	-	-	-	14	10	1	2	False	90	2	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	1	77	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Harry Kane	1	-	-	12	8	1	3	False	90	9	F	8.6	False	0	0	-	2	-	17	1	22	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Jamal Musiala	2	-	2	7	5	1	2	False	28	10	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jannis Bartl	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	40	G	6.9	False	0	2	-	-	-	32	-	41	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	-	71	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Joshua Kimmich	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	True	89	6	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	81	1	92	-	-	0	-	3	3	-	2	2
👤 Josip Stanišić	1	1	-	11	8	-	2	False	90	44	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	44	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Kim Min-jae	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	3	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	3	-	1	9	4	3	-	False	89	27	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	2	37	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Lennart Karl	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Goretzka	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	1	8	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Díaz	6	1	4	13	6	-	-	False	90	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	42	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Michael Olise	4	2	3	12	7	-	3	False	89	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	3	53	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Nicolas Jackson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	1	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	62	7	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	1	20	2	21	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Sven Ulreich	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Bischof	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	1	20	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-3	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	2-3	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

30.5%

Home Win

25.0%

Draw

44.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.45

Bayern München 1.78

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

Bayern München

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)