VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

HT: 3–0

VfL Wolfsburg

01 Mar 2026

15:30

MHP Arena

Score Summary

VfB Stuttgart

4 0

FT HT 3–0

VfL Wolfsburg

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

68% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1574 1581 ▲ 6

32% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 1442 1436 ▼ -6

xPi Expected win probability

62% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.40 0.48 ▲ 0.08

27% Win

VfL Wolfsburg -0.42 -0.50 ▼ -0.08

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jamie Leweling

VfB Stuttgart

8.9

8.9 rating · 77 min

Most Clinical

Jamie Leweling

VfB Stuttgart

8.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Ermedin Demirović

VfB Stuttgart

7.7

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Angelo Stiller

VfB Stuttgart

7.9

3 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfB Stuttgart 79% VfL Wolfsburg 21%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

24 Shots 10

11 On Target 3

Form Context

VfB Stuttgart

W L W L D

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L W D

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart controlled momentum for most phases of play.
VfB Stuttgart generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 55.8%

Draw 23.2%

Away Win 21.1%

Expected Goals 2.04 - 1.20

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	4-0	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

63 Possession 37

11 Shots 3

24 Shots 10

1 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 6

11 Shots On Goal 3

24 Total Shots 10

63 Ball Possession 37

548 Passes Accurate 292

632 Total Passes 378

87% Passes % 77%

6 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

5 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

7 Corner Kicks 3

19 Shots Insidebox 5

5 Shots Outsidebox 5

3.28 expected_goals 0.78

0 goals_prevented 0

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.2	False	0	3	-	-	32	-	48	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	22	2	D	7.3	True	0	-	-	-	18	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	1	-	1	8	6	-	1	False	90	6	M	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	82	3	92	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	2	-	1	12	11	-	4	True	90	16	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	56	-	64	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	1	1	-	1	7	4	-	1	False	88	11	F	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	41	3	48	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Chema Andrés	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chris Führich	0	2	2	-	6	1	-	-	False	88	10	M	7.9	False	1	-	-	-	52	2	55	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Deniz Undav	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	2	False	77	26	F	8.2	False	0	-	1	1	22	2	29	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	-	1	-	15	7	1	2	False	90	9	F	7.7	False	1	-	-	-	15	4	19	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	0	-	-	-	9	3	1	-	False	90	29	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	69	-	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jamie Leweling	0	1	-	-	6	2	1	2	False	77	18	M	8.9	False	0	-	2	-	30	2	39	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Jeremy Arevalo	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	9	25	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	13	22	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	68	14	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	50	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Nartey	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	13	28	M	7.9	True	0	-	1	-	8	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	1	1	1	5	3	1	1	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	64	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Tiago Tomás	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	8	F	7.3	True	1	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

VfL Wolfsburg — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Zehnter	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	25	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Adam Daghim	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	45	11	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Christian Eriksen	1	2	-	4	-	-	-	False	90	24	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	2	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Denis Vavro	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dženan Pejčinović	1	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	45	17	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jan Bürger	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	1	-	1	9	4	6	-	False	85	6	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Jesper Lindstrøm	1	1	-	6	2	2	1	False	28	19	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Adjei Adjetey	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	45	18	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kamil Grabara	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	4	7	-	-	25	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kento Shiogai	-	1	-	8	3	1	-	False	45	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	4	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Konstantinos Koulierakis	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Lovro Majer	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	45	10	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marius Müller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mohamed Amoura	-	1	-	8	3	1	-	False	45	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Moritz Jenz	-	-	-	11	7	1	-	False	90	15	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	1
👤 Pharell Hensel	1	-	1	5	2	-	1	False	62	37	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Saël Kumbedi	1	-	1	5	5	-	-	False	90	26	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Vinícius Souza	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yannick Gerhardt	1	1	-	12	4	3	2	True	90	31	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	4-0	31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg	4-0	31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

55.8%

Home Win

23.2%

Draw

21.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 2.04

VfL Wolfsburg 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfB Stuttgart

VfL Wolfsburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)