Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

HT: 0–0

Bayer Leverkusen

73' C. Kofane

04 Mar 2026

20:30

Volksparkstadion

Stadium

Volksparkstadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 57030 Surface: grass Address: Sylvester Allee 7

Score Summary

Hamburger SV

0 1

FT HT 0–0

Bayer Leverkusen

73' C. Kofane

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

41% Win

Hamburger SV 1497 1489 ▼ -8

59% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1563 1571 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Hamburger SV -0.28 -0.62 ▼ -0.34

47% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.40 0.54 ▲ 0.14

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ibrahim Maza

Bayer Leverkusen

8.9

8.9 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Christian Kofane

Bayer Leverkusen

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Ibrahim Maza

Bayer Leverkusen

8.9

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nicolai Remberg

Hamburger SV

6.9

6 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Hamburger SV 43% Bayer Leverkusen 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

37 Possession 63

10 Shots 14

3 On Target 4

Form Context

Hamburger SV

L D L L L

Bayer Leverkusen

D W W L W

Smart Insight

Bayer Leverkusen carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayer Leverkusen produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 31.1%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 43.9%

Expected Goals 1.47 - 1.77

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0-1	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

37 Possession 63

3 Shots 4

10 Shots 14

0 Offsides 2

4 Shots Off Goal 8

3 Shots On Goal 4

10 Total Shots 14

37 Ball Possession 63

249 Passes Accurate 476

336 Total Passes 569

74% Passes % 84%

3 Blocked Shots 2

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

12 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 2

2 Corner Kicks 7

8 Shots Insidebox 11

2 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.27 expected_goals 1.89

1 goals_prevented 1

Hamburger SV — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Sambi Lokonga	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	9	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Bakery Jatta	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	29	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Damion Downs	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	65	19	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Elfadli	-	1	-	11	6	-	1	False	90	8	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	33	-	-	-	-	1	1	4	2
👤 Daniel Fernandes	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	1	3	-	-	44	-	65	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Baldé	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fábio Vieira	4	-	2	12	7	2	3	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Giorgi Gocholeishvili	3	-	-	15	6	1	2	False	90	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Jean-Luc Dompé	2	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	25	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jordan Torunarigha	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	25	25	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luka Vušković	-	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	90	44	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	36	-	-	-	1	3	1	-	-
👤 Nicolai Remberg	-	1	-	16	9	3	2	True	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	31	-	-	-	1	1	-	5	6
👤 Noah Katterbach	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Otto Stange	3	-	1	7	4	-	-	False	25	49	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	1	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	81	11	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Philippe	1	-	-	8	1	2	-	False	65	14	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Robert Glatzel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sander Tangvik	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warmed Omari	-	-	-	3	1	2	1	False	65	17	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 William Mikelbrencis	2	1	-	8	4	1	-	False	61	2	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	1	1	3	-	8	2	2	-	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	91	1	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	20	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	33	2	43	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Axel Tape	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	0	2	-	-	15	8	2	1	False	90	35	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	1	8	1	13	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	3
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	12	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	68	-	87	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Ernest Poku	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	19	F	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Exequiel Palacios	1	2	1	-	12	7	1	2	False	90	25	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	90	1	103	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	6	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	3	-	2	11	8	1	3	False	89	30	F	8.9	False	1	-	-	1	32	4	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	28	G	7.5	False	0	3	-	-	7	-	15	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	-	-	-	9	5	2	1	False	90	4	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Omlin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	0	2	-	1	12	6	1	1	False	19	10	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Martin Terrier	0	2	-	1	8	4	-	1	False	71	11	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	2	-	-	11	7	1	2	False	80	42	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	21	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	1	-	9	6	-	1	True	90	8	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	55	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Tim Oermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0-1	31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV	0-1	31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

31.1%

Home Win

25.0%

Draw

43.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Hamburger SV 1.47

Bayer Leverkusen 1.77

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Hamburger SV

Bayer Leverkusen

Volksparkstadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)