FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart - Football Platform

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

HT: 1–0

VfB Stuttgart

07 Mar 2026

15:30

Mewa Arena

Stadium

MEWA ARENA

Mainz, Germany

Capacity: 34034 Surface: grass Address: Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Score Summary

FSV Mainz 05

2 2

FT HT 1–0

VfB Stuttgart

Lee Jae-Sung 39'
D. da Costa 90'

76' E. Demirovic
77' D. Undav

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

36% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1480 1483 ▲ 3

64% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1581 1578 ▼ -3

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.12 0.21 ▲ 0.33

37% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.47 0.48 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Danny da Costa

FSV Mainz 05

8.5

8.5 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Danny da Costa

FSV Mainz 05

8.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Paul Nebel

FSV Mainz 05

7.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Paul Nebel

FSV Mainz 05

7.6

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

FSV Mainz 05 60% VfB Stuttgart 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

38 Possession 62

18 Shots 11

6 On Target 4

Form Context

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

VfB Stuttgart

W L W L D

Smart Insight

FSV Mainz 05 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
FSV Mainz 05 generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.6%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 36.1%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.59

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	2-2	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

38 Possession 62

6 Shots 4

18 Shots 11

2 Offsides 0

8 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 4

18 Total Shots 11

38 Ball Possession 62

228 Passes Accurate 454

318 Total Passes 537

72% Passes % 85%

4 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 6

14 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.73 expected_goals 0.98

0 goals_prevented 0

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armindo Sieb	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.5	False	0	2	2	-	-	22	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	2	-	1	7	6	-	1	False	89	21	D	8.5	False	1	0	-	1	-	33	1	41	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	-	9	4	2	2	False	90	31	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jae-sung Lee	-	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	89	7	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	20	-	25	-	-	-	1	3	1	2	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaishu Sano	-	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	2
👤 Lasse Riess	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nelson Weiper	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	11	44	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	22	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	1	3	-	16	7	2	-	False	89	8	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	4	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	5
👤 Phillip Tietz	1	-	-	22	12	1	3	False	90	20	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	3	29	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	-
👤 Phillipp Mwene	1	-	1	6	4	-	1	False	90	2	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	29	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Sheraldo Becker	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	74	23	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	4	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Silas	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	16	26	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	-	2	-	6	3	1	1	True	85	30	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sota Kawasaki	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Posch	2	-	-	10	5	1	2	False	90	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 William Bøving	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	14	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	33	G	7.3	False	0	2	3	-	-	30	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	1	70	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	-	-	-	7	7	-	2	True	90	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chema Andrés	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chris Führich	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	75	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Deniz Undav	0	1	1	-	8	3	2	-	False	84	26	M	7.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	16	2	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	2	-	1	14	4	4	1	False	90	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	-	17	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	15	29	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Jamie Leweling	0	3	1	2	7	3	-	-	False	90	18	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Jeff Chabot	1	-	-	-	19	8	3	-	False	90	24	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	-	75	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Jeremy Arevalo	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	12	25	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	65	22	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	75	14	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	3	-	2	13	7	-	-	False	84	7	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	2	58	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	4
👤 Nikolas Nartey	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	25	28	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	3	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Tomás	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	15	8	F	6.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	5	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	2-2	31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	2-2	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.6%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

36.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 1.65

VfB Stuttgart 1.59

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FSV Mainz 05

VfB Stuttgart

MEWA ARENA

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)