1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

HT: 0–1

Borussia Dortmund

07 Mar 2026

18:30

RheinEnergieStadion

Score Summary

1. FC Köln

1 2

FT HT 0–1

Borussia Dortmund

J. Kaminski 88'

16' S. Guirassy
60' M. Beier

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

33% Win

1. FC Köln 1454 1448 ▼ -7

67% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1575 1581 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

1. FC Köln -0.26 -0.03 ▲ 0.23

40% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.39 0.66 ▲ 0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nico Schlotterbeck

Borussia Dortmund

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Jakub Kamiński

1. FC Köln

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Daniel Svensson

Borussia Dortmund

6.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Felix Nmecha

Borussia Dortmund

7.0

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Köln 44% Borussia Dortmund 56%

Key Stats Snapshot

39 Possession 61

14 Shots 13

4 On Target 5

Form Context

1. FC Köln

D D W D L

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.3%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 39.4%

Expected Goals 1.57 - 1.67

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	1-2	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

39 Possession 61

4 Shots 5

14 Shots 13

5 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 5

14 Total Shots 13

39 Ball Possession 61

292 Passes Accurate 538

368 Total Passes 606

79% Passes % 89%

5 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

9 Fouls 13

1 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

9 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 11

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.28 expected_goals 2.00

0 goals_prevented 0

1. FC Köln — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Cenk Özkaçar	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	39	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Cenny Neumann	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	13	36	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Dominique Heintz	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	3	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Martel	0	1	-	2	-	15	6	3	3	False	90	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	62	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Felipe Chávez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Kainz	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	1	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	47	22	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakub Kamiński	0	0	2	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	16	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	2	34	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	-
👤 Kristoffer Lund	0	0	4	-	4	9	8	-	2	False	90	32	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Linton Maina	0	0	1	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	15	37	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luca Waldschmidt	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Bulter	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	12	30	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Schwabe	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	3	-	-	35	-	49	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ragnar Ache	0	0	1	1	1	17	12	-	-	False	87	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Rav van den Berg	0	0	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	33	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	31	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Ron-Robert Zieler	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Said El Mala	0	0	4	-	1	7	4	-	1	False	86	13	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	13	3	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tom Krauß	0	0	1	-	1	8	6	1	1	False	86	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Youssoupha Niang	0	0	2	-	-	10	4	2	2	False	75	38	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	12	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	1	1	-	12	6	-	3	False	90	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	4	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	-	-	-	9	6	3	1	False	89	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Fábio Silva	0	2	-	2	7	4	1	1	False	29	21	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	4	-	-	28	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	7	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Brandt	0	1	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	90	10	F	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	1	38	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	1	2	-	4	-	1	-	False	61	26	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	3	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	16	27	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Reggiani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	54	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	1	1	1	6	2	2	1	False	83	14	F	7.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	21	1	29	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	2	-	2	11	7	-	-	True	90	4	D	8.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	83	-	86	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Niklas Süle	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	25	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	1	-	-	-	7	5	1	1	False	82	5	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	68	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	2
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Samuele Inacio	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	1	-	-	6	2	1	2	False	61	9	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	2	15	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	-	1	-	11	4	-	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	105	-	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yan Couto	0	1	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	29	2	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Köln and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	1-2	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln	1-2	31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Köln and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.3%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

39.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 1.57

Borussia Dortmund 1.67

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Köln

Borussia Dortmund

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)