Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 - Football Platform

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

HT: 0–1

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

6' P. Nebel
52' Lee Jae-Sung

15 Mar 2026

15:30

Weserstadion

Score Summary

Werder Bremen

0 2

FT HT 0–1

FSV Mainz 05

6' P. Nebel
52' Lee Jae-Sung

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Werder Bremen 1456 1447 ▼ -9

54% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1483 1492 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

57% Win

Werder Bremen 0.03 -0.14 ▼ -0.17

30% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.04 0.21 ▲ 0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

Daniel Batz

FSV Mainz 05

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Paul Nebel

FSV Mainz 05

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Cameron Puertas

Werder Bremen

7.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Kaishu Sano

FSV Mainz 05

7.2

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Werder Bremen 60% FSV Mainz 05 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

66 Possession 34

16 Shots 11

3 On Target 2

Form Context

Werder Bremen

W L L W D

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

Werder Bremen controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Werder Bremen generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors FSV Mainz 05 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.4%

Draw 24.0%

Away Win 24.7%

Expected Goals 1.95 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

66 Possession 34

3 Shots 2

16 Shots 11

2 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 2

16 Total Shots 11

66 Ball Possession 34

513 Passes Accurate 210

604 Total Passes 304

85% Passes % 69%

6 Blocked Shots 5

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

9 Corner Kicks 4

14 Shots Insidebox 9

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.08 expected_goals 1.08

1 goals_prevented 1

Werder Bremen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Cameron Puertas	0	3	1	1	14	4	2	-	False	90	18	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	59	4	66	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Felix Agu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaac Schmidt	0	3	-	3	4	3	-	-	False	21	23	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jens Stage	1	1	1	-	14	6	2	-	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Julián Malatini	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	55	22	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Justin Njinmah	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	11	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	1	20	-	21	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	-
👤 Karim Coulibaly	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karl Hein	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Keke Topp	0	1	1	1	7	3	1	-	False	45	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Leonardo Bittencourt	1	1	1	-	14	9	1	6	False	68	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	66	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Marco Friedl	0	-	1	-	9	5	-	1	True	90	32	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	100	-	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Marco Grüll	0	-	-	-	6	1	1	-	False	85	17	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	2	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Mick Schmetgens	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	35	33	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Mio Backhaus	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	30	G	5.9	False	0	2	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Deman	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	90	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	62	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Patrice Čović	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	22	24	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Romano Schmid	0	5	-	2	8	3	-	-	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	45	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Salim Musah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	29	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Samuel Mbangula	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yukinari Sugawara	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	69	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	33	G	8.9	False	0	3	-	-	17	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	2	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Dominik Kohr	0	-	3	-	14	5	2	1	False	90	31	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	3	3	1
👤 Jae-sung Lee	1	1	1	1	9	3	1	-	False	87	7	M	7.3	False	0	-	1	-	22	-	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	48	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	2	-	2	9	7	-	1	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	3
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	15	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxim Leitsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nelson Weiper	0	1	-	1	7	5	-	-	False	18	44	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	18	22	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	1	2	1	12	8	-	2	False	90	8	M	8	False	0	-	1	-	28	3	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Phillip Tietz	0	1	-	-	9	3	1	1	False	72	20	F	6	False	0	-	-	-	3	-	13	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	72	2	M	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	14	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Sheraldo Becker	0	1	-	1	8	2	2	-	False	87	23	F	6.9	False	1	-	-	2	10	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	1	True	81	30	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	15	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	24	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Posch	0	-	2	-	9	5	1	1	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	2
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Werder Bremen and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	0-2	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen	0-2	31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Werder Bremen and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.4%

Home Win

24.0%

Draw

24.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Werder Bremen 1.95

FSV Mainz 05 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Werder Bremen

FSV Mainz 05

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)