FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

HT: 0–1

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

11 Apr 2026

18:30

Millerntor-Stadion

Stadium

Millerntor-Stadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 29564 Surface: grass Address: Harald-Stender-Platz 1

Score Summary

FC St. Pauli

0 5

FT HT 0–1

Bayern München

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

19% Win

FC St. Pauli 1451 1447 ▼ -4

81% Win

Bayern München 1704 1708 ▲ 4

xPi Expected win probability

25% Win

FC St. Pauli -0.54 -0.58 ▼ -0.04

65% Win

Bayern München 1.59 1.57 ▼ -0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Joshua Kimmich

Bayern München

8.9

8.9 rating · 59 min

Most Clinical

Leon Goretzka

Bayern München

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Konrad Laimer

Bayern München

7.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Mathias Rasmussen

FC St. Pauli

7.0

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC St. Pauli 27% Bayern München 73%

Key Stats Snapshot

23 Possession 77

6 Shots 20

3 On Target 8

Form Context

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

Bayern München

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Bayern München carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayern München produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 20.8%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 54.4%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	0-5	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

23 Possession 77

3 Shots 8

6 Shots 20

2 Offsides 3

2 Shots Off Goal 5

3 Shots On Goal 8

6 Total Shots 20

23 Ball Possession 77

200 Passes Accurate 873

272 Total Passes 946

74% Passes % 92%

1 Blocked Shots 7

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

9 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 4

4 Shots Insidebox 16

2 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.49 expected_goals 3.84

0 goals_prevented 0

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andreas Hountondji	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	77	27	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	4	3	-	14	5	-	2	False	90	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	1	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	24	24	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Danel Sinani	0	-	1	-	5	1	-	1	False	90	10	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Nemeth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	-	True	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	4	-	2
👤 Jannik Thomas Robatsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	1	2	2	1	8	2	2	-	False	66	16	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Karol Mets	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	1	3	-	14	6	3	1	False	77	21	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Louis Oppie	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	13	23	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	19	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	1	3	1	8	4	-	-	False	88	28	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mathias Rasmussen	0	1	1	1	11	8	1	2	False	90	20	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	5.2	False	0	5	3	-	-	20	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taichi Hara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	18	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomoya Ando	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	15	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alphonso Davies	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	31	19	D	7.3	True	0	-	-	-	44	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye	0	3	-	3	7	6	-	2	False	12	39	F	7	True	0	-	-	-	17	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dayot Upamecano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Itō	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	67	21	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	65	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jamal Musiala	0	3	1	3	12	4	1	1	False	84	10	M	7	False	1	-	1	-	29	3	36	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	23	4	D	8.3	True	0	-	-	-	52	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Kimmich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	59	6	M	8.9	False	0	-	-	-	100	2	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josip Stanišić	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	32	44	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	37	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	3	D	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	123	1	127	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	2	-	2	9	4	1	-	False	58	27	D	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	39	3	44	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	1	2	1	7	3	1	-	False	90	8	M	8.3	False	1	-	1	1	91	1	101	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Luis Díaz	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	31	14	F	6	True	0	-	-	-	29	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	3	-	-	35	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	1	3	1	1	8	5	-	4	False	59	17	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	2	26	-	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Jackson	0	3	-	1	8	3	1	-	False	90	11	F	7.2	False	1	-	1	-	24	1	30	-	-	-	3	4	-	2	1
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	22	M	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	65	3	76	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Tom Bischof	0	3	-	2	10	8	1	-	False	90	20	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	97	1	104	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	0-5	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	0-5	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and Bayern München

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 20.8%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 54.4%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

19.4%

Home Win

22.7%

Draw

57.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.15

Bayern München 2.09

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC St. Pauli

Bayern München

Millerntor-Stadion

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)