FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

HT: 3–0

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

15' D. Kohr
29' P. Nebel
45' S. Becker
53' N. Jackson
73' M. Olise
80' J. Musiala
83' H. Kane

25 Apr 2026

15:30

Mewa Arena

Stadium

MEWA ARENA

Mainz, Germany

Capacity: 34034 Surface: grass Address: Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Score Summary

FSV Mainz 05

3 4

FT HT 3–0

Bayern München

D. Kohr 15'
P. Nebel 29'
S. Becker 45'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

22% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1503 1499 ▼ -4

78% Win

Bayern München 1727 1731 ▲ 4

xPi Expected win probability

27% Win

FSV Mainz 05 0.12 0.21 ▲ 0.08

63% Win

Bayern München 1.63 1.57 ▼ -0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Michael Olise

Bayern München

8.3

8.3 rating · 45 min

Most Clinical

Paul Nebel

FSV Mainz 05

7.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Konrad Laimer

Bayern München

6.9

3 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Stefan Posch

FSV Mainz 05

6.2

5 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

FSV Mainz 05 57% Bayern München 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

30 Possession 70

21 Shots 11

8 On Target 6

Form Context

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Bayern München

W W W W W

Smart Insight

FSV Mainz 05 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
FSV Mainz 05 generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 29.5%

Draw 24.7%

Away Win 45.8%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	3-4	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

30 Possession 70

8 Shots 6

21 Shots 11

1 Offsides 0

8 Shots Off Goal 4

8 Shots On Goal 6

21 Total Shots 11

30 Ball Possession 70

191 Passes Accurate 557

253 Total Passes 620

75% Passes % 90%

5 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

14 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 4

15 Shots Insidebox 10

6 Shots Outsidebox 1

2.40 expected_goals 1.97

0 goals_prevented 0

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Caci	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	10	19	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	2	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	19	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	6.3	False	0	4	2	-	-	14	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	21	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	3	-	8	2	3	1	False	85	31	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	1	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	5	1	2	15	8	2	1	False	90	6	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	20	3	23	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	4
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	15	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	0	2	1	1	5	1	2	-	False	79	10	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	2	15	-	-	-	3	4	-	1	-
👤 Nelson Weiper	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	13	44	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	3	2	2	18	8	3	2	False	85	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	1	14	1	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Phillip Tietz	0	1	1	-	13	7	-	2	False	90	20	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	-	2	-	9	4	2	2	False	90	2	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Robin Zentner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sheraldo Becker	0	2	-	1	6	4	1	1	False	71	23	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	True	80	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Posch	0	-	1	-	11	7	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	5
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	14	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	45	45	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alphonso Davies	0	3	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	57	19	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye	0	4	4	4	17	11	-	1	False	77	39	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Deniz Ofli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Pavić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	0	2	-	1	10	4	-	-	False	45	9	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	6	1	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Itō	0	1	-	1	5	3	1	1	False	90	21	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	-	78	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Jamal Musiala	0	4	-	2	9	5	1	2	False	33	10	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	13	-	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	40	G	7.5	False	0	3	5	-	-	21	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Josip Stanišić	0	2	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	33	44	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	92	-	98	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	2	1	-	10	3	3	2	False	90	27	D	6.9	False	2	0	-	-	-	64	3	68	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	2	True	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Luis Díaz	0	1	-	-	9	3	3	2	False	45	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	1	2	-	2	4	4	-	2	False	45	17	M	8.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	23	-	31	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Jackson	0	4	1	1	10	5	-	1	False	90	11	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	18	-	26	-	-	-	3	3	1	-	2
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	57	22	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	3-4	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	3-4	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 29.5%

Draw 24.7%

Away Win 45.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

23.6%

Home Win

23.8%

Draw

52.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 1.27

Bayern München 1.97

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FSV Mainz 05

Bayern München

MEWA ARENA

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)