RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin - Football Platform

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 2–0

Union Berlin

24 Apr 2026

20:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

3 1

FT HT 2–0

Union Berlin

78' D. Doekhi

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

67% Win

RB Leipzig 1580 1586 ▲ 7

33% Win

Union Berlin 1453 1447 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

59% Win

RB Leipzig 0.34 0.47 ▲ 0.13

29% Win

Union Berlin -0.16 -0.29 ▼ -0.13

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ridle Baku

RB Leipzig

8.2

8.2 rating · 79 min

Most Clinical

Danilho Doekhi

Union Berlin

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Yan Diomande

RB Leipzig

8.2

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Danilho Doekhi

Union Berlin

7.6

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 90% Union Berlin 10%

Key Stats Snapshot

67 Possession 33

18 Shots 4

9 On Target 1

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Union Berlin

L D L L L

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig controlled momentum for most phases of play.
RB Leipzig generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors RB Leipzig after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 42.6%

Draw 22.8%

Away Win 34.7%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	3-1	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

67 Possession 33

9 Shots 1

18 Shots 4

1 Offsides 2

6 Shots Off Goal 3

9 Shots On Goal 1

18 Total Shots 4

67 Ball Possession 33

500 Passes Accurate 201

575 Total Passes 281

87% Passes % 72%

3 Blocked Shots 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 5

6 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

10 Corner Kicks 4

13 Shots Insidebox 2

5 Shots Outsidebox 2

3.75 expected_goals 0.18

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	5	2	4	17	8	-	3	False	90	7	F	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	21	1	29	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Assan Ouédraogo	0	4	1	-	7	2	-	1	False	68	20	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	2	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Benjamin Henrichs	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	39	D	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	22	10	F	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	1	-	-	-	9	4	2	1	False	90	14	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	27	-	35	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	1
👤 Conrad Harder	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	22	11	F	7.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	77	1	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	11	9	F	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	26	G	6.2	False	-	1	-	-	-	27	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	35	D	7.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	59	1	63	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	2	1	1	9	5	-	1	False	79	17	D	8.2	False	-	0	-	1	-	54	1	57	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Rômulo	0	2	-	1	10	2	1	-	False	68	40	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	1	1	13	-	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	0	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	14	10	-	2	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	76	-	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	1	-	1	7	6	-	-	True	90	24	M	7.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	74	1	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Yan Diomande	0	7	-	6	11	8	-	1	False	79	49	F	8.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	5	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Union Berlin — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Král	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aljoscha Kemlein	0	1	1	1	6	4	-	-	False	30	6	M	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Andrej Ilić	0	2	-	1	15	6	2	1	False	59	23	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 András Schäfer	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	83	13	M	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Carl Klaus	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	59	25	G	7.2	True	-	1	3	-	-	9	-	15	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Trimmel	0	-	2	-	8	3	2	-	True	60	28	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Danilho Doekhi	0	1	-	1	12	8	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	23	-	25	-	-	-	1	2	1	3	4
👤 Derrick Köhn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diogo Leite	1	-	2	-	11	5	2	1	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	26	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	3
👤 Frederik Ronnow	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	31	1	G	6.2	False	-	2	2	-	-	4	-	6	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilyas Ansah	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	31	10	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janik Haberer	0	-	1	-	8	3	2	-	False	60	19	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Josip Juranović	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	30	18	D	6.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	4	2	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Leopold Querfeld	0	-	-	-	11	8	-	2	False	90	14	D	7.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	22	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Livan Burcu	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	7	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Burke	0	5	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	90	7	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	2	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rani Khedira	0	-	2	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	10	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Stanley N'Soki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Skarke	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Rothe	0	2	3	-	10	4	-	-	False	90	15	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	11	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Union Berlin

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	3-1	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin	3-1	31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Union Berlin

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 42.6%

Draw 22.8%

Away Win 34.7%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.7%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

29.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.81

Union Berlin 1.43

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

Union Berlin

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)