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51

HT: 3–0

10 Jan 2026
16:00
Live Ratings
Burnley
Millwall

Stadium

Turf Moor

Burnley, England

Capacity: 22546 Surface: grass Address: Harry Potts Way
Score Summary
Burnley
5 1
FT HT 3–0
Millwall
Elo & xPi Evolution
Elo Expected win probability
39% Win
Burnley 1422 1435 β–² 12
61% Win
Millwall 1500 1494 β–Ό -6
xPi Expected win probability
32% Win
Burnley -0.69 -0.76 β–Ό -0.07
52% Win
Millwall 0.00 -0.09 β–Ό -0.09
Top Performers

Top Rated

Jacob Bruun Larsen

Jacob Bruun Larsen

Burnley

8.6

8.6 rating Β· 78 min

Most Clinical

Ashley Barnes

Ashley Barnes

Burnley

7.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Jacob Bruun Larsen

Jacob Bruun Larsen

Burnley

8.6

4 key passes Β· 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Joe Bryan

Joe Bryan

Millwall

7.0

11 tackles Β· 5 interceptions

Match Momentum
Burnley 50% Millwall 50%
Key Stats Snapshot
67 Possession 33
16 Shots 12
7 On Target 7
Form Context

Burnley

W L

Millwall

L
Smart Insight
  • Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
  • Burnley generated the clearer shot volume edge.
  • Elo movement favors Burnley after this result.
Prediction (dixon_coles)
Home Win 37.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away Win 37.5%
Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.65
Qualification %
Burnley 100.0%
Millwall 0.0%
Based on 5000 simulations
#TeamScrPtsForm
1 Macclesfield 18 W W W W L
2 Maldon & Tiptree 18 W W W W L
3 Whitstable Town 16 W D W W L
4 Weston-super-Mare 16 W W W W L
5 Runcorn Linnets 16 W W D W L
6 Manchester City 15 W W W W W