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32

HT: 1–0

20 Jan 2026
20:45
Live Ratings
Salford City
Swindon Town
Score Summary
Salford City
3 2
FT HT 1–0
Swindon Town
Elo & xPi Evolution
Elo Expected win probability
49% Win
Salford City 1505 1510 β–² 5
51% Win
Swindon Town 1510 1505 β–Ό -5
xPi Expected win probability
44% Win
Salford City 0.01 -0.01 β–Ό -0.02
36% Win
Swindon Town 0.00 0.00 β–² 0.00
Top Performers

Top Rated

Ryan Graydon

Ryan Graydon

Salford City

8.7

8.7 rating Β· 90 min

Most Clinical

Ryan Graydon

Ryan Graydon

Salford City

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Kelly N'Mai

Kelly N'Mai

Salford City

7.3

2 key passes Β· 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Gavin Kilkenny

Gavin Kilkenny

Swindon Town

7.2

8 tackles Β· 2 interceptions

Match Momentum
Salford City 56% Swindon Town 44%
Key Stats Snapshot
45 Possession 55
12 Shots 17
5 On Target 4
Form Context

Salford City

D W W L

Swindon Town

W W L
Smart Insight
  • Salford City controlled momentum for most phases of play.
  • Swindon Town produced more shot pressure than expected.
  • Elo movement favors Salford City after this result.
Prediction (dixon_coles)
Home Win 37.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away Win 37.5%
Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.65
Qualification %
Salford City 100.0%
Swindon Town 0.0%
Based on 5000 simulations
#TeamScrPtsForm
1 Macclesfield 18 W W W W L
2 Maldon & Tiptree 18 W W W W L
3 Whitstable Town 16 W D W W L
4 Weston-super-Mare 16 W W W W L
5 Runcorn Linnets 16 W W D W L
6 Manchester City 15 W W W W W