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13

HT: 1–0

14 Feb 2026
18:45
Live Ratings
Aston Villa
Newcastle

Stadium

Villa Park

Birmingham, England

Capacity: 42824 Surface: grass Address: Trinity Road
Score Summary
Aston Villa
1 3
FT HT 1–0
Newcastle
Elo & xPi Evolution
Elo Expected win probability
63% Win
Aston Villa 1611 1598 β–Ό -13
37% Win
Newcastle 1519 1532 β–² 13
xPi Expected win probability
43% Win
Aston Villa 0.18 0.24 β–² 0.07
36% Win
Newcastle 0.42 0.22 β–Ό -0.20
Top Performers

Top Rated

Sandro Tonali

Sandro Tonali

Newcastle

9.0

9.0 rating Β· 90 min

Most Clinical

Sandro Tonali

Sandro Tonali

Newcastle

9.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Lucas Digne

Lucas Digne

Aston Villa

6.0

4 key passes Β· 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lamare Bogarde

Lamare Bogarde

Aston Villa

5.9

4 tackles Β· 2 interceptions

Match Momentum
Aston Villa 40% Newcastle 60%
Key Stats Snapshot
43 Possession 57
8 Shots 12
2 On Target 3
Form Context

Aston Villa

W L

Newcastle

D W L
Smart Insight
  • Newcastle carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
  • Newcastle produced more shot pressure than expected.
  • Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.
Prediction (dixon_coles)
Home Win 40.9%
Draw 25.0%
Away Win 34.1%
Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.57
Qualification %
Aston Villa 0.0%
Newcastle 100.0%
Based on 5000 simulations
#TeamScrPtsForm
1 Macclesfield 18 W W W W L
2 Maldon & Tiptree 18 W W W W L
3 Whitstable Town 16 W D W W L
4 Weston-super-Mare 16 W W W W L
5 Runcorn Linnets 16 W W D W L
6 Manchester City 15 W W W W W