FC Schalke 04 vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04

HT: 1–0

Arminia Bielefeld

15' E. Dzeko

06 Mar 2026

18:30

Veltins Arena

Stadium

Veltins Arena

Gelsenkirchen

Score Summary

FC Schalke 04

1 0

FT HT 1–0

Arminia Bielefeld

E. Dzeko 15'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

61% Win

FC Schalke 04 1546 1554 ▲ 8

39% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1467 1459 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.41 0.57 ▲ 0.16

29% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.03 0.07 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Adil Aouchiche

FC Schalke 04

8.3

8.3 rating · 88 min

Most Clinical

Edin Džeko

FC Schalke 04

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Adil Aouchiche

FC Schalke 04

8.3

8 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Timo Becker

FC Schalke 04

7.5

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC Schalke 04 73% Arminia Bielefeld 27%

Key Stats Snapshot

45 Possession 55

24 Shots 12

8 On Target 3

Form Context

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Smart Insight

FC Schalke 04 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
FC Schalke 04 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors FC Schalke 04 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.1%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 22.5%

Expected Goals 1.79 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	1-0	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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45 Possession 55

8 Shots 3

24 Shots 12

1 Offsides 2

10 Shots Off Goal 4

8 Shots On Goal 3

24 Total Shots 12

45 Ball Possession 55

160 Passes Accurate 227

278 Total Passes 348

58% Passes % 65%

6 Blocked Shots 5

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

7 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 2

9 Corner Kicks 2

20 Shots Insidebox 9

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.27 expected_goals 0.89

0 goals_prevented 0

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adil Aouchiche	6	1	2	12	4	-	-	False	88	24	M	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	19	8	25	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Christian Gomis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	7	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dejan Ljubičić	1	-	1	7	5	-	1	False	78	21	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Edin Džeko	-	1	-	21	12	-	-	False	88	10	F	8	False	0	-	1	-	19	3	27	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	1
👤 Felipe Sánchez	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	12	2	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	-	-	-	14	8	-	3	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Janik Bachmann	-	-	-	8	4	-	-	False	12	14	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	1	2	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	-	1	-	12	3	2	2	True	89	19	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	12	2	16	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Muller	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	22	G	7.3	False	0	3	-	-	8	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Podlech	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Grüger	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	-	2	-	18	8	1	1	False	90	43	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	10	1	26	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	1
👤 Mika Khadr	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mika Wallentowitz	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	2	35	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Ndiaye	1	-	-	11	4	1	2	False	78	16	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	16	2	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Moussa Sylla	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	2	9	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Ron Schallenberg	-	-	-	11	9	2	1	False	90	6	M	8	False	0	-	-	-	24	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	5	1	3	14	9	-	2	False	90	23	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	12	-	22	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	3
👤 Timo Becker	-	2	-	18	10	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	8	-	20	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	5
👤 Zaid Amoussou	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	2	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	90	17	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	2	2	2	6	3	1	-	False	59	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	-	1	-	9	6	-	2	False	31	24	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Eyyub Yasar	0	3	-	2	5	3	-	-	False	19	44	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Rochelt	0	2	1	1	8	2	-	-	False	59	22	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	1	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	4	-	2	12	7	1	1	False	89	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	1	17	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	1	7	-	-	28	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	1	-	-	-	6	1	2	-	True	59	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	10	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	-
👤 Marius Wörl	0	4	1	1	10	3	-	-	False	71	38	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marvin Mehlem	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	31	10	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Bauer	0	-	-	-	18	8	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	31	37	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Roberts Uldriķis	0	1	1	-	37	20	3	1	False	90	28	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Robin Knoche	0	-	-	-	12	8	-	-	False	90	31	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Sam Schreck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semir Telalović	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	1	7	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	1	1	-	-	12	4	4	1	False	90	21	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC Schalke 04 and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	1-0	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	1-0	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC Schalke 04 and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.1%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

22.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC Schalke 04 1.79

Arminia Bielefeld 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC Schalke 04

Arminia Bielefeld

Veltins Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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