Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

HT: 1–0

Nottingham Forest

04 Mar 2026

20:30

Etihad Stadium

Stadium

Etihad Stadium

Manchester, England

Capacity: 55097 Surface: grass Address: Rowsley Street

Score Summary

Manchester City

2 2

FT HT 1–0

Nottingham Forest

A. Semenyo 31'
Rodri 62'

56' M. Gibbs-White
76' E. Anderson

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

70% Win

Manchester City 1621 1617 ▼ -4

30% Win

Nottingham Forest 1474 1478 ▲ 4

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Manchester City 0.77 0.88 ▲ 0.11

31% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.23 0.22 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bernardo Silva

Manchester City

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Rodri

Manchester City

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Rayan Cherki

Manchester City

8.3

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Elliot Anderson

Nottingham Forest

8.5

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester City 64% Nottingham Forest 36%

Key Stats Snapshot

70 Possession 30

21 Shots 9

7 On Target 4

Form Context

Manchester City

D D W W W

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Manchester City controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester City generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.3%

Draw 26.6%

Away Win 24.1%

Expected Goals 1.67 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	2-2	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

70 Possession 30

7 Shots 4

21 Shots 9

1 Offsides 3

8 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 4

21 Total Shots 9

70 Ball Possession 30

714 Passes Accurate 269

774 Total Passes 329

92% Passes % 82%

6 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

6 Corner Kicks 1

16 Shots Insidebox 6

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.12 expected_goals 0.97

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdukodir Khusanov	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	45	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Semenyo	2	2	-	9	3	1	-	False	90	42	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	1	26	-	-	-	1	3	2	-	1
👤 Bernardo Silva	3	1	2	8	5	1	-	True	90	20	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	107	3	112	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Erling Haaland	-	-	-	5	2	1	1	False	90	9	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	6	False	0	2	2	-	-	19	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Stones	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jérémy Doku	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	13	11	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marc Guéhi	1	-	1	9	6	1	-	False	90	15	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	84	-	91	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Matheus Nunes	6	-	3	12	6	1	-	False	90	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	2	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nathan Aké	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omar Marmoush	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Foden	1	-	1	4	4	-	1	False	77	47	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	2	63	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	1
👤 Rayan Aït-Nouri	5	1	4	13	8	3	1	False	77	21	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	76	2	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Rayan Cherki	4	-	3	7	4	1	-	False	82	10	M	8.3	False	1	0	-	-	1	78	3	86	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Rodri	-	2	-	9	3	1	1	False	90	16	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	100	2	106	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Rúben Dias	1	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	81	1	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Savinho	2	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	26	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Angus Gunn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	27	7	F	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	0	4	4	2	21	11	1	2	False	90	8	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	39	1	45	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	5
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	1	1	2	-	7	2	1	-	False	90	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Igor Jesus	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	79	19	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	10	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Netz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	7	False	0	2	3	-	-	23	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	4	D	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	2	2	2	12	4	1	1	True	89	10	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	1	23	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Murillo	1	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	-
👤 Neco Williams	0	1	1	-	8	4	1	-	False	89	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	2	20	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	1	3	1	13	8	-	3	False	63	16	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nikola Milenković	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	31	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Ola Aina	0	2	1	1	10	6	-	1	False	90	34	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	9	22	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester City and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	2-2	33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	2-2	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester City and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.3%

Home Win

26.6%

Draw

24.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester City 1.67

Nottingham Forest 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester City

Nottingham Forest

Etihad Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)