Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Football Platform

Premier League

Nottingham Forest

HT: 0–1

Burnley

19 Apr 2026

15:00

City Ground

Stadium

The City Ground

Nottingham, Nottinghamshire, England

Capacity: 30576 Surface: grass Address: Pavilion Road

Score Summary

Nottingham Forest

4 1

FT HT 0–1

Burnley

45+2' Z. Flemming

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

65% Win

Nottingham Forest 1509 1516 ▲ 7

35% Win

Burnley 1404 1397 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.26 0.22 ▼ -0.03

26% Win

Burnley -0.73 -0.76 ▼ -0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Morgan Gibbs-White

Nottingham Forest

10.0

10.0 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Morgan Gibbs-White

Nottingham Forest

10.0

3 goals

Best Creator

Omari Hutchinson

Nottingham Forest

6.9

1 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Quilindschy Hartman

Burnley

6.6

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Nottingham Forest 50% Burnley 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

9 Shots 4

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Burnley

D L L L L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Nottingham Forest generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Nottingham Forest after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 55.2%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 19.5%

Expected Goals 1.79 - 0.99

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

52 Possession 48

3 Shots 3

9 Shots 4

2 Offsides 0

4 Shots Off Goal 0

3 Shots On Goal 3

9 Total Shots 4

52 Ball Possession 48

373 Passes Accurate 357

457 Total Passes 437

82% Passes % 82%

2 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

7 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 4

7 Shots Insidebox 3

2 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.00 expected_goals 0.36

-2 goals_prevented -2

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Chris Wood	-	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	76	11	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	8	1	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dilane Bakwa	1	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	29	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Elliot Anderson	4	1	3	21	12	2	3	False	96	8	M	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	57	-	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	1	-	-	10	6	3	2	False	96	6	M	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	44	1	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Igor Jesus	-	-	-	9	5	1	1	False	51	19	F	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	1	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jair	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	54	23	D	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	28	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 James McAtee	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Netz	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	96	26	G	6.6	False	-	1	2	-	-	13	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	4	D	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	2	-	-	9	3	-	1	True	89	10	M	10	False	-	0	-	3	1	23	-	30	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	2
👤 Murillo	-	1	-	6	4	-	-	False	42	5	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	27	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Neco Williams	4	-	2	8	5	-	1	False	96	3	D	7.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	35	1	44	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	7	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nikola Milenković	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	96	31	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	39	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Ola Aina	2	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	96	34	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	42	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Omari Hutchinson	4	-	3	11	5	-	1	False	88	21	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	25	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ryan Yates	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	20	22	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Ortega	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armando Broja	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	27	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bashir Humphreys	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florentino Luís	1	3	2	-	18	7	4	-	False	83	16	M	6	False	-	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	-	1	-	7	4	-	-	False	96	18	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	42	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	7	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaidon Anthony	0	3	1	1	5	2	-	1	False	83	11	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Ward-Prowse	0	2	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	96	20	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	54	1	63	-	-	-	1	1	-	4	-
👤 Joe Worrall	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josh Laurent	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	13	29	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Kyle Walker	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	True	96	2	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	44	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	1	1	1	8	3	1	-	False	76	8	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	17	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lyle Foster	0	1	-	-	7	1	1	-	False	32	9	F	6	True	-	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marcus Edwards	0	2	1	-	9	5	-	2	False	64	10	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	96	1	G	5.2	False	-	3	-	-	-	33	-	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	0	1	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	96	5	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	34	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Mike Trésor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Quilindschy Hartman	0	-	2	-	7	4	1	-	False	96	3	D	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	39	1	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	4
👤 Zian Flemming	0	-	-	-	16	7	4	3	False	84	19	F	7.3	False	-	0	-	1	-	6	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Burnley

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	4-1	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	4-1	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Burnley

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 59.6%

Draw 12.0%

Away Win 28.5%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

55.2%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

19.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Nottingham Forest 1.79

Burnley 0.99

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Nottingham Forest

Burnley

The City Ground

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)