Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League

Sunderland

HT: 0–4

Nottingham Forest

24 Apr 2026

21:00

Stadium of Light

Stadium

Stadium of Light

Sunderland, England

Capacity: 49000 Surface: grass Address: Millenium Way

Score Summary

Sunderland

0 5

FT HT 0–4

Nottingham Forest

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Sunderland 1503 1493 ▼ -10

52% Win

Nottingham Forest 1516 1526 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

34% Win

Sunderland -0.08 -0.08 ▼ 0.00

48% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.22 0.22 ▲ 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nikola Milenković

Nottingham Forest

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Daniel Ballard

Sunderland

5.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Igor Jesus

Nottingham Forest

7.2

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nikola Milenković

Nottingham Forest

8.2

3 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Sunderland 40% Nottingham Forest 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

61 Possession 39

14 Shots 10

4 On Target 6

Form Context

Sunderland

L W W L L

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Nottingham Forest carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Sunderland generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Nottingham Forest after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 27.9%

Draw 24.4%

Away Win 47.7%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

61 Possession 39

4 Shots 6

14 Shots 10

1 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 2

4 Shots On Goal 6

14 Total Shots 10

61 Ball Possession 39

358 Passes Accurate 199

436 Total Passes 273

82% Passes % 73%

7 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

13 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 5

3 Corner Kicks 6

7 Shots Insidebox 6

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.70 expected_goals 1.10

0 goals_prevented 0

Sunderland — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Brian Brobbey	0	3	-	-	14	6	1	1	False	90	9	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Chemsdine Talbi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chris Rigg	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	45	11	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Ballard	0	1	-	1	10	6	2	-	False	90	5	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	39	-	49	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Dennis Cirkin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eliezer Mayenda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Enzo Le Fée	0	2	1	-	15	5	2	3	False	90	28	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	34	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Granit Xhaka	1	2	1	1	7	4	-	1	True	90	34	M	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	2	74	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Habib Diarra	1	3	1	1	12	5	1	2	False	65	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Harrison Jones	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luke O'Nien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lutsharel Geertruida	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Melker Ellborg	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Sadiki	0	1	-	1	8	4	3	2	False	90	27	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nordi Mukiele	0	4	-	3	10	6	2	2	False	90	20	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	23	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Omar Alderete	0	1	-	1	9	5	1	-	False	90	15	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	38	-	-	-	1	3	1	2	-
👤 Reinildo Mandava	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	45	17	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Robin Roefs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	5.2	False	0	5	2	-	-	26	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trai Hume	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	90	32	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Wilson Isidor	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	25	18	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Chris Wood	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	88	11	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	1	10	-	12	-	-	-	2	2	2	1	-
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dilane Bakwa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	1	-	-	-	10	4	2	1	False	90	8	M	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	31	1	39	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	6	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Igor Jesus	1	1	1	-	7	1	2	-	False	67	19	F	7.2	False	1	-	1	-	8	2	11	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	50	23	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Netz	0	-	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	23	25	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	26	G	7.2	False	0	4	-	-	9	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	40	4	D	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	1	-	1	7	3	1	-	True	90	10	M	7.9	False	1	-	1	-	20	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Neco Williams	1	1	1	-	5	-	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	15	2	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	1	-	1	-	7	4	2	1	False	45	16	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	17	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	11	6	3	1	False	90	31	D	8.2	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Ola Aina	0	-	3	-	16	11	-	2	False	90	34	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	3	1	2	9	5	1	3	False	67	21	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Ryan Yates	1	-	-	-	6	4	2	1	False	23	22	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Stefan Ortega	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	9	F	6.6	True	1	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Sunderland and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland	0-5	34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	0-5	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Sunderland and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 27.9%

Draw 24.4%

Away Win 47.7%

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.6%

Away Win 35.9%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

26.7%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

46.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Sunderland 1.17

Nottingham Forest 1.60

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Sunderland

Nottingham Forest

Stadium of Light

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)