Brighton vs Arsenal - Football Platform

Premier League

Brighton

HT: 0–1

Arsenal

Coach : F. Ljungberg

9' B. Saka

04 Mar 2026

20:30

Amex Stadium

Stadium

American Express Stadium

Falmer, East Sussex, England

Capacity: 31872 Surface: grass Address: Village Way

Score Summary

Brighton

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Arsenal

9' B. Saka

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

29% Win

Brighton 1505 1499 ▼ -6

71% Win

Arsenal 1657 1663 ▲ 6

xPi Expected win probability

28% Win

Brighton 0.13 0.33 ▲ 0.20

60% Win

Arsenal 1.12 0.94 ▼ -0.19

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Jurriën Timber

Arsenal

7.3

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jurriën Timber

Arsenal

7.3

5 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brighton 60% Arsenal 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

11 Shots 7

3 On Target 2

Form Context

Brighton

W W W D W

Arsenal

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Brighton controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Brighton generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Arsenal after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 20.8%

Draw 25.7%

Away Win 53.5%

Expected Goals 1.02 - 1.75

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	0-1	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	0-1	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

60 Possession 40

3 Shots 2

11 Shots 7

3 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 2

11 Total Shots 7

60 Ball Possession 40

385 Passes Accurate 226

470 Total Passes 322

82% Passes % 70%

5 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

14 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 3

6 Shots Insidebox 6

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.82 expected_goals 0.47

0 goals_prevented 0

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.7	False	0	1	1	-	-	28	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	0	1	1	-	5	-	1	-	False	78	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	23	-	-	-	1	2	1	2	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	21	18	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	1	1	-	-	18	8	4	-	False	77	25	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	1	3	-	1	8	3	-	2	False	90	24	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Georginio Rutter	0	-	2	-	13	8	-	4	False	90	10	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Harry Howell	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	53	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	0	-	1	-	6	1	2	-	False	69	13	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	1	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 James Milner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	0	1	-	-	9	6	-	-	False	90	6	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	2	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	34	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	45	22	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mats Wieffer	0	-	1	-	10	7	1	1	False	77	27	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	31	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	1	1	-	1	13	9	1	1	False	90	21	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	-	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Pascal Groß	0	1	-	-	6	5	-	2	True	90	30	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	4	-	3	9	5	-	1	False	45	11	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Yasin Ayari	1	1	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	12	26	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bukayo Saka	0	4	2	1	14	4	3	-	True	90	7	M	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	7	-	14	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Christian Nørgaard	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	16	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	1	-	1	-	5	2	2	1	False	64	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	31	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 David Raya	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	2	-	-	25	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Declan Rice	0	1	-	1	7	7	-	1	False	90	41	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	40	2	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Eberechi Eze	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	3	False	90	10	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Gabriel Jesus	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	0	-	-	-	8	7	1	2	False	90	6	D	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	0	2	-	-	6	1	-	1	False	60	11	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jurriën Timber	0	-	1	-	11	8	2	1	False	90	12	D	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	13	2	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	5
👤 Kai Havertz	0	-	-	-	10	5	-	2	False	31	29	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	0	3	1	1	10	3	-	1	False	30	19	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	5	1	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Martín Zubimendi	0	1	-	1	7	4	1	-	False	80	36	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Max Dowman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noni Madueke	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Piero Hincapié	0	2	-	1	11	6	-	1	False	90	5	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Riccardo Calafiori	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	26	33	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	0	1	-	-	8	-	3	-	False	59	14	F	5.9	False	0	-	-	-	7	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brighton and Arsenal

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	0-1	34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	0-1	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brighton and Arsenal

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

20.8%

Home Win

25.7%

Draw

53.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brighton 1.02

Arsenal 1.75

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brighton

Arsenal

American Express Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)