Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

HT: 1–1

Fortuna Düsseldorf

02 Aug 2025

20:30

SchücoArena

Stadium

SchücoArena

Bielefeld, Germany

Capacity: 27300 Surface: grass Address: Melanchthonstr. 31a

Score Summary

Arminia Bielefeld

5 1

FT HT 1–1

Fortuna Düsseldorf

35' C. Itten

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1500 1505 ▲ 5

50% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1500 1495 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.00 0.07 ▲ 0.07

36% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 0.00 -0.18 ▼ -0.18

Top Performers

Top Rated

Joel Grodowski

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

8.2 rating · 86 min

Most Clinical

Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee

Arminia Bielefeld

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

6.6

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Anouar El Azzouzi

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6.3

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arminia Bielefeld 75% Fortuna Düsseldorf 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

64 Possession 36

15 Shots 11

9 On Target 3

Form Context

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Smart Insight

Arminia Bielefeld controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Arminia Bielefeld generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Arminia Bielefeld after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.5%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 36.5%

Expected Goals 1.45 - 1.45

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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64 Possession 36

9 Shots 3

15 Shots 11

3 Offsides 4

4 Shots Off Goal 6

9 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 11

64 Ball Possession 36

457 Passes Accurate 225

542 Total Passes 306

84% Passes % 74%

2 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

12 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 1

4 Yellow Cards 4

8 Corner Kicks 3

9 Shots Insidebox 7

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

3.40 expected_goals 1.23

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Benjamin Boakye	1	1	2	-	8	1	1	-	False	45	27	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	1	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	24	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	86	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Richter	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	43	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Micheler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaiah Young	0	2	-	2	3	2	1	-	False	15	30	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	1	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Felix	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	22	3	D	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	24	-	24	-	-	0	-	2	2	1	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	3	-	2	15	9	1	4	False	86	11	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	13	-	17	-	-	0	-	1	3	-	-	2
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	1	1	-	-	24	-	31	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Kania	0	1	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	7	F	7	True	0	0	-	1	1	1	-	3	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	23	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	84	-	91	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Lukas Kunze	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	0	4	1	3	10	5	1	-	True	90	6	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	26	1	33	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marvin Mehlem	1	1	1	-	9	2	4	2	False	82	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	25	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	2	-	7	3	-	-	False	90	19	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	60	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	2	1	-	8	1	-	-	False	82	37	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	14	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Sam Schreck	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	8	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	10	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	0	2	-	2	7	3	-	1	False	69	21	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	54	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Tim Handwerker	1	-	-	-	7	4	3	2	False	90	29	D	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	62	2	75	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	0	0	1	3	-	12	4	3	-	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	2	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	3
👤 Cedric Itten	0	0	1	1	1	11	5	3	-	False	83	13	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	1	8	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	1	2	-	1	6	5	-	2	False	72	10	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	4	2	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Christopher Lenz	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	9	3	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Danny Schmidt	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	0	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	45	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	33	G	6.3	False	0	5	3	-	-	33	-	50	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giovanni Haag	0	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	45	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamil Siebert	0	1	-	1	-	12	7	1	2	False	90	20	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Julian Hettwer	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Schmidt	0	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	45	4	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	0	4	1	3	12	7	1	1	False	90	25	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	82	5	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	45	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	0	0	-	2	-	10	6	1	3	False	90	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	25	1	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	1	2	-	1	-	5	-	2	-	False	44	15	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Tim Rossmann	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	1	False	19	21	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Valgeir Lunddal	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincent Vermeij	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	5-1	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	5-1	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.5%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

36.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arminia Bielefeld 1.45

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.45

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arminia Bielefeld

Fortuna Düsseldorf

SchücoArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

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