Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 0–2

Arminia Bielefeld

22' N. Sarenren Bazee
45' T. Handwerker

10 Aug 2025

13:30

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

0 2

FT HT 0–2

Arminia Bielefeld

22' N. Sarenren Bazee
45' T. Handwerker

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Holstein Kiel 1495 1490 ▼ -5

51% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1505 1510 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.01 -0.27 ▼ -0.26

36% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.10 0.07 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Jonas Therkelsen

Holstein Kiel

7.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 64% Arminia Bielefeld 36%

Key Stats Snapshot

59 Possession 41

15 Shots 12

7 On Target 4

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Smart Insight

Holstein Kiel controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Holstein Kiel generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.3%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 35.6%

Expected Goals 1.47 - 1.43

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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59 Possession 41

7 Shots 4

15 Shots 12

3 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 4

7 Shots On Goal 4

15 Total Shots 12

59 Ball Possession 41

364 Passes Accurate 228

455 Total Passes 315

80% Passes % 72%

1 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

13 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 1

0 Yellow Cards 6

9 Corner Kicks 7

7 Shots Insidebox 7

8 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.34 expected_goals 0.84

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	5	-	2	15	7	3	2	False	90	11	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	33	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	1
👤 David Zec	-	-	-	8	3	4	1	False	90	26	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	2	68	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Finn Porath	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ivan Nekić	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Tolkin	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	45	47	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Jonas Krumrey	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	6.5	False	0	2	1	-	-	32	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	3	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	45	10	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	3	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Kasper Davidsen	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	-	-	-	10	5	2	1	False	45	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Magnus Knudsen	-	1	-	5	2	1	1	False	90	24	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	48	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Marcus Müller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	25	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	-	-	-	8	5	-	1	False	90	6	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	1	77	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Max Geschwill	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mladen Cvjetinović	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	76	17	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	2	-	1	13	7	1	5	False	84	29	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	-
👤 Phil Harres	-	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	45	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Robert Wagner	3	-	2	7	5	-	1	False	45	39	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Stefan Schwab	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	45	22	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Steven Skrzybski	1	-	1	7	4	-	2	True	90	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	18	1	27	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Timon Weiner	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	0	3	-	-	8	2	1	2	False	68	27	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	0	-	-	-	8	7	1	2	False	90	24	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Daniel Richter	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Micheler	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaiah Young	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Felix	0	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	23	3	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	0	1	-	-	9	4	2	3	False	72	11	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	1	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	1	2	-	1	-	4	2	1	1	False	70	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	-	-	28	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Kania	0	0	3	-	2	7	4	-	-	False	23	7	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	19	18	G	7.6	True	0	5	-	-	3	-	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	36	2	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Lukas Kunze	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	13	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	0	0	-	2	-	8	4	2	-	True	90	6	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Marvin Mehlem	0	1	1	-	-	6	1	1	1	False	89	10	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	1	-	-	-	10	7	2	-	False	90	19	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	30	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	0	-	-	-	7	3	1	-	False	68	37	F	7.5	False	0	-	1	-	5	1	10	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Sam Schreck	0	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	23	8	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Stefano Russo	0	1	-	-	-	6	2	3	-	False	68	21	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Tim Handwerker	0	1	1	2	-	8	4	1	1	False	90	29	D	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	30	3	39	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	0-2	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	0-2	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.3%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

35.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.47

Arminia Bielefeld 1.43

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

Arminia Bielefeld

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

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