SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 0–2

Fortuna Düsseldorf

23 Aug 2025

13:00

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

1 2

FT HT 0–2

Fortuna Düsseldorf

N. Batzner 84'

35' C. Itten
42' F. Muslija

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1510 1505 ▼ -5

48% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1495 1500 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.14 0.46 ▲ 0.32

34% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.15 -0.18 ▼ -0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Tim Christopher Oberdorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Nick Bätzner

SC Paderborn 07

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Shinta Karl Appelkamp

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Calvin Brackelmann

SC Paderborn 07

6.9

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 40% Fortuna Düsseldorf 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

17 Shots 14

4 On Target 6

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Fortuna Düsseldorf after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.4%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 31.7%

Expected Goals 1.56 - 1.34

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	1-2	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

43 Possession 57

4 Shots 6

17 Shots 14

N/A Offsides N/A

5 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 6

17 Total Shots 14

43 Ball Possession 57

319 Passes Accurate 446

373 Total Passes 513

86% Passes % 87%

8 Blocked Shots 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

12 Fouls 8

1 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

9 Corner Kicks 7

13 Shots Insidebox 11

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adriano Grimaldi	0	0	4	-	2	24	8	2	2	False	74	39	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	0	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	53	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	5
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	7.9	False	0	2	4	-	-	28	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	2	False	80	7	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Kerem Yalcin	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	0	0	1	2	1	13	8	-	-	False	90	17	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Lucas Copado	0	0	1	-	1	6	3	1	1	False	11	28	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Luis Engelns	0	1	3	1	1	12	4	2	3	False	60	6	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Hoffmeier	0	0	4	1	3	9	6	1	-	False	90	33	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Marco Wörner	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Schubert	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	0	-	2	-	5	2	-	-	False	45	22	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Mika Baur	0	0	3	3	2	11	4	2	-	False	80	14	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	0	3	1	-	5	-	1	-	False	31	9	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	8	1	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	0	3	2	2	9	4	-	-	True	90	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	44	-	-	-	2	3	1	1	1
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	1	-	-	-	5	2	2	-	False	45	5	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Marino	0	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	17	30	F	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	1	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	12	25	D	3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	0	3	2	2	14	7	-	2	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	65	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Cedric Itten	1	2	-	-	13	6	1	1	False	90	13	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	2	3	1	1	-
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	16	10	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Christopher Lenz	0	-	2	-	6	2	1	-	False	16	3	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Danny Schmidt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elias Egouli	0	-	2	-	11	8	-	-	False	90	44	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Florent Muslija	0	5	-	1	12	6	1	1	False	89	24	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	35	3	45	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	3
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	True	90	33	G	8.2	False	0	1	3	-	-	25	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giovanni Haag	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	6	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordy de Wijs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Hettwer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Schmidt	0	1	2	-	8	2	-	-	False	75	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	2	-	2	8	6	2	-	False	45	5	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	2	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	89	23	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	37	3	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	1	-	2	-	5	-	3	-	False	45	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	0	-	1	-	13	11	-	3	False	90	15	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	3
👤 Tim Rossmann	0	7	1	5	13	9	-	3	False	75	21	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Valgeir Lunddal	0	4	-	2	10	6	-	1	False	90	12	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	30	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	1-2	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	1-2	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.4%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

31.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.56

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.34

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

Fortuna Düsseldorf

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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