1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 1–1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

31 Aug 2025

13:30

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

4 5

FT HT 1–1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

24' N. Futkeu
62' F. Klaus
69' N. Futkeu
76' F. Klaus
90' M. John

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1500 1495 ▼ -5

50% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1500 1505 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

1. FC Magdeburg -0.01 0.21 ▲ 0.22

35% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.00 -0.26 ▼ -0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Felix Klaus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Alexander Ahl Holmstrom

1. FC Magdeburg

9.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Laurin Ulrich

1. FC Magdeburg

7.2

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Luka Hyryläinen

1. FC Magdeburg

6.9

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 50% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

19 Shots 13

7 On Target 7

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
1. FC Magdeburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SpVgg Greuther Fürth after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.6%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 31.5%

Expected Goals 1.56 - 1.34

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

53 Possession 47

7 Shots 7

19 Shots 13

2 Offsides 0

4 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 7

19 Total Shots 13

53 Ball Possession 47

379 Passes Accurate 316

452 Total Passes 399

84% Passes % 79%

8 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

16 Fouls 10

1 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 4

2 Corner Kicks 3

13 Shots Insidebox 10

6 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom	0	0	2	-	-	15	6	3	1	False	90	11	F	9.2	False	0	0	-	2	1	16	-	22	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	1	2	2	-	1	3	1	2	-	False	71	17	M	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Andi Hoti	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	3	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baris Atik	0	1	4	1	2	14	4	4	-	False	82	23	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	3	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Connor Krempicki	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	8	6	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6	False	0	5	2	-	-	40	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eldin Džogović	0	0	3	-	2	9	6	-	1	False	89	4	D	5.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Falko Michel	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	21	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	0	1	-	-	10	7	-	-	False	90	24	D	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	42	1	51	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	0	1	1	-	9	4	-	2	False	89	8	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	5	34	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Luka Hyryläinen	0	0	1	1	-	12	5	3	1	False	82	38	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	50	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	3
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	0	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	90	16	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	83	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	-
👤 Max Geschwill	0	1	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	82	28	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Noah Kruth	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	8	10	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	8	27	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	0	1	5	-	3	10	7	1	3	False	90	29	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Müller	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	1	-	-	-	12	7	1	2	False	82	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	5
👤 Branimir Hrgota	0	2	1	-	11	4	2	2	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	31	2	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	False	90	25	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Felix Higl	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	8	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Felix Klaus	1	-	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	30	M	9.5	False	1	0	-	2	-	34	3	39	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	3
👤 Gian-Luca Itter	0	-	4	-	8	1	2	1	False	90	27	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	-
👤 Jannik Dehm	1	-	1	-	6	5	-	4	False	89	23	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	1
👤 Juan Cabrera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Green	0	1	-	1	3	3	1	-	False	28	37	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lukas Reich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco John	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	24	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	6	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Mathias Olesen	0	-	1	-	12	8	1	3	False	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Nils-Jonathan Körber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah König	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	17	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Noel Futkeu	0	1	-	-	8	3	-	2	False	82	9	F	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	1
👤 Omar Sillah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pelle Boevink	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	26	G	5.2	False	0	4	3	-	-	15	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Ziereis	1	-	-	-	10	7	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	41	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Reno Münz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sacha Banse	0	2	1	2	7	5	-	-	False	62	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	4-5	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	4-5	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.6%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

31.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.56

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.34

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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