FC Schalke 04 vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04

HT: 0–1

Holstein Kiel

6' A. Bernhardsson

13 Sep 2025

13:00

Veltins Arena

Stadium

Veltins Arena

Gelsenkirchen

Score Summary

FC Schalke 04

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Holstein Kiel

6' A. Bernhardsson

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

FC Schalke 04 1515 1507 ▼ -8

47% Win

Holstein Kiel 1496 1503 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.07 0.57 ▲ 0.50

34% Win

Holstein Kiel 0.02 -0.27 ▼ -0.29

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jonas Krumrey

Holstein Kiel

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Alexander Bernhardsson

Holstein Kiel

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

John Tolkin

Holstein Kiel

7.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Felipe Sánchez

FC Schalke 04

6.9

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC Schalke 04 44% Holstein Kiel 56%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

12 Shots 10

4 On Target 5

Form Context

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

Holstein Kiel carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Holstein Kiel after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.9%

Draw 26.7%

Away Win 29.4%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.29

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	0-1	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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52 Possession 48

4 Shots 5

12 Shots 10

5 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 5

12 Total Shots 10

52 Ball Possession 48

328 Passes Accurate 348

434 Total Passes 420

76% Passes % 83%

2 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

17 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 3

8 Corner Kicks 3

8 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 2

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrian Gantenbein	-	2	-	3	-	1	-	False	26	17	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Lasme	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	22	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Christian Gomis	-	-	-	7	2	2	-	False	68	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	2	15	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Antwi-Adjei	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	12	18	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Felipe Sánchez	-	1	-	8	6	1	-	False	78	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Finn Porath	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	64	27	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	12	4	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Henning Matriciani	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janik Bachmann	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	26	14	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Justin Heekeren	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	1	1	1	14	8	2	3	True	90	19	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Loris Karius	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	1	4	-	-	21	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mauro Zalazar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Sylla	2	-	1	12	3	-	-	False	90	9	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	2	8	-	15	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Katić	-	-	-	11	5	2	-	False	90	25	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	51	-	62	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Ron Schallenberg	1	-	1	8	7	1	-	False	64	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	4	3	2	21	9	5	5	False	90	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Timo Becker	-	2	-	13	7	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	1	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Vitalie Becker	-	2	-	5	1	-	-	False	78	33	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	2	-	2	8	6	-	1	False	73	20	F	7	False	1	-	-	-	9	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	7	1	6	20	12	2	3	False	90	11	M	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	21	-	26	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Carl Johansson	1	-	-	-	16	11	-	-	False	90	5	D	8	False	0	-	-	-	54	-	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 David Zec	1	-	-	-	5	4	1	1	False	90	26	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	40	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Tolkin	0	2	-	-	6	4	-	3	False	90	47	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	34	4	44	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	8.3	False	0	4	-	-	43	-	49	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	2	1	1	3	1	-	-	False	17	10	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	1	2	-	10	3	3	1	False	90	15	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	29	-	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	25	23	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Magnus Knudsen	0	2	1	-	11	6	2	2	False	83	24	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	1	33	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	83	3	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	59	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Marcus Müller	0	2	-	-	9	4	-	4	False	65	25	F	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	15	6	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	26	19	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Robert Wagner	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	15	39	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	1	6	-	2	15	4	2	-	True	64	7	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	9	1	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC Schalke 04 and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	0-1	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	0-1	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC Schalke 04 and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.9%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

29.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC Schalke 04 1.61

Holstein Kiel 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC Schalke 04

Holstein Kiel

Veltins Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)