Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

HT: 0–1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

25' N. Futkeu
50' M. Worl
80' M. John
90' F. Klaus

19 Sep 2025

18:30

SchücoArena

Stadium

SchücoArena

Bielefeld, Germany

Capacity: 27300 Surface: grass Address: Melanchthonstr. 31a

Score Summary

Arminia Bielefeld

1 3

FT HT 0–1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

M. Worl 50'

25' N. Futkeu
80' M. John
90' F. Klaus

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

53% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1516 1509 ▼ -8

47% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1497 1505 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.07 0.07 ▲ 0.00

35% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.01 -0.26 ▼ -0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

Felix Klaus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Marius Wörl

Arminia Bielefeld

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Mael Corboz

Arminia Bielefeld

6.9

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jannik Dehm

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.3

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arminia Bielefeld 42% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 58%

Key Stats Snapshot

68 Possession 32

15 Shots 11

5 On Target 7

Form Context

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Smart Insight

SpVgg Greuther Fürth carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Arminia Bielefeld generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SpVgg Greuther Fürth after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.4%

Draw 26.8%

Away Win 29.9%

Expected Goals 1.60 - 1.30

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

68 Possession 32

5 Shots 7

15 Shots 11

2 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 3

5 Shots On Goal 7

15 Total Shots 11

68 Ball Possession 32

496 Passes Accurate 180

598 Total Passes 281

83% Passes % 64%

2 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

11 Fouls 22

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

6 Corner Kicks 3

7 Shots Insidebox 8

8 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	16	17	D	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	45	24	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	2	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	87	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Florian Micheler	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	11	20	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaiah Young	1	1	-	1	7	4	2	-	False	45	30	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Joel Felix	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	5	-	1	15	5	2	3	False	90	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	16	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	3	4	-	-	22	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Kania	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	45	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	90	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	88	-	97	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Lukas Kunze	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	0	1	2	-	9	4	2	2	True	90	6	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	39	5	42	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marius Wörl	0	2	-	1	6	3	-	2	False	74	38	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	41	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Mehlem	1	-	-	-	7	4	1	2	False	87	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	21	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	2
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	14	12	-	3	False	90	19	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	91	-	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	-	-	-	7	7	-	3	False	45	14	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Sam Schreck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	0	1	2	1	10	5	1	2	False	90	21	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	87	-	-	-	-	2	-	3	1
👤 Vincent Ocansey	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	11	45	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	0	1	-	-	7	1	4	-	False	65	16	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Branimir Hrgota	0	1	-	-	17	5	4	2	True	90	10	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	3	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason	0	-	2	-	6	4	-	1	False	70	25	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Dennis Srbeny	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Higl	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	11	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Klaus	1	2	1	2	8	4	1	-	False	90	30	M	8	False	2	0	-	1	-	18	3	31	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Gian-Luca Itter	0	1	-	-	9	4	1	2	False	90	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	2
👤 Jannik Dehm	0	-	-	-	7	5	2	-	False	90	23	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	4
👤 Jomaine Consbruch	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	1	False	25	14	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Cabrera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Green	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	37	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Lukas Reich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco John	0	3	1	2	14	6	2	1	False	90	24	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	1	22	-	-	-	2	2	1	3	2
👤 Mathias Olesen	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	79	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Noel Futkeu	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	False	79	9	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Omar Sillah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pelle Boevink	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	6.9	False	0	1	4	-	-	11	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Ziereis	0	-	-	-	12	8	3	1	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Reno Münz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	20	5	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Sebastian Jung	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	1-3	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1-3	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.4%

Home Win

26.8%

Draw

29.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arminia Bielefeld 1.60

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.30

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arminia Bielefeld

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SchücoArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

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CatBoost Prediction

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