1. FC Magdeburg vs FC Schalke 04

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 0–1

FC Schalke 04

10' K. Karaman
56' K. Karaman

20 Sep 2025

13:00

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

0 2

FT HT 0–1

FC Schalke 04

10' K. Karaman
56' K. Karaman

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1488 1481 ▼ -7

53% Win

FC Schalke 04 1507 1514 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

1. FC Magdeburg -0.01 0.21 ▲ 0.22

34% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.06 0.57 ▲ 0.51

Top Performers

Top Rated

Loris Karius

FC Schalke 04

7.7

7.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Kenan Karaman

FC Schalke 04

7.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Rayan Ghrieb

1. FC Magdeburg

6.7

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Nikola Katić

FC Schalke 04

6.6

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 50% FC Schalke 04 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

8 Shots 10

2 On Target 2

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
FC Schalke 04 produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors FC Schalke 04 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.7%

Draw 26.7%

Away Win 29.6%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.29

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	0-2	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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60 Possession 40

2 Shots 2

8 Shots 10

5 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 2

8 Total Shots 10

60 Ball Possession 40

375 Passes Accurate 213

453 Total Passes 299

83% Passes % 71%

1 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

15 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 2

5 Shots Insidebox 7

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ado Onaiwu	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	10	45	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	70	11	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	6	-	3	14	6	2	1	False	90	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	18	-	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Baris Atik	0	3	2	-	9	2	-	1	False	90	23	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	1	1	-	1	5	2	2	-	False	45	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	2	-	-	-	56	-	62	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eldin Džogović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	-	-	-	10	7	-	1	False	90	24	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	3	-	2	16	10	1	6	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	4	1	3	12	7	2	3	False	90	19	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luka Hyryläinen	0	1	-	-	7	3	1	-	False	45	38	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	80	16	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Max Geschwill	0	1	-	1	4	2	1	1	False	45	28	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	2	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	20	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	27	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	1	6	-	4	16	6	3	1	False	88	29	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	3	14	4	22	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robert Kampa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Müller	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	45	5	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrian Gantenbein	0	-	3	-	9	5	1	2	False	79	17	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	26	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Bryan Lasme	0	1	-	-	7	5	-	1	False	11	11	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	5	1	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Christian Gomis	0	-	-	-	6	1	2	-	False	72	7	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Antwi-Adjei	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	10	18	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felipe Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Porath	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	11	27	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	0	1	-	1	12	9	3	3	False	90	4	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Henning Matriciani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janik Bachmann	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	18	14	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Justin Heekeren	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	0	3	2	-	19	5	2	2	True	90	19	F	7.3	False	0	-	2	-	14	1	19	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Loris Karius	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	2	-	-	18	-	36	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mauro Zalazar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	13	43	D	7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Moussa Sylla	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	79	9	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	12	2	14	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Nikola Katić	1	-	2	-	22	11	1	-	False	90	25	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	26	-	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	4
👤 Ron Schallenberg	0	-	2	-	8	4	2	1	False	80	6	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	0	1	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	0	1	-	1	8	7	1	2	False	90	23	M	7.7	False	1	-	-	1	34	1	46	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Timo Becker	0	1	1	1	4	3	-	1	False	89	5	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Vitalie Becker	0	-	4	-	9	4	1	-	False	90	33	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	0-2	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	0-2	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.7%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

29.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.61

FC Schalke 04 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

FC Schalke 04

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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