Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 2–0

Karlsruher SC

21 Sep 2025

13:30

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

3 0

FT HT 2–0

Karlsruher SC

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Holstein Kiel 1503 1511 ▲ 8

53% Win

Karlsruher SC 1521 1514 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Holstein Kiel 0.03 -0.27 ▼ -0.30

36% Win

Karlsruher SC 0.01 -0.56 ▼ -0.57

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jonas Krumrey

Holstein Kiel

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

David Zec

Holstein Kiel

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Alexander Bernhardsson

Holstein Kiel

7.9

3 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Marcel Franke

Karlsruher SC

7.0

2 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 50% Karlsruher SC 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

11 Shots 13

4 On Target 4

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Karlsruher SC

W L W L L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Holstein Kiel after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.7%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 32.4%

Expected Goals 1.54 - 1.36

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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46 Possession 54

4 Shots 4

11 Shots 13

2 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 8

4 Shots On Goal 4

11 Total Shots 13

46 Ball Possession 54

388 Passes Accurate 439

463 Total Passes 525

84% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

14 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 3

4 Corner Kicks 5

10 Shots Insidebox 10

1 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	1	3	-	-	10	2	3	2	False	90	20	F	8	False	0	-	1	-	4	1	11	-	0	-	1	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	1	True	90	11	M	7.9	False	2	-	-	-	20	3	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Carl Johansson	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	73	-	78	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 David Zec	1	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	26	D	8	False	0	-	1	-	59	-	67	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Tolkin	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	74	47	M	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	22	2	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	8.2	False	0	4	-	-	41	-	47	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	5	-	4	11	7	1	2	False	66	10	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	1	16	4	23	-	1	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	3	False	45	15	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	23	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Magnus Knudsen	1	-	1	-	6	1	3	1	False	90	24	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	1	27	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	74	3	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	45	-	55	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Marcus Müller	0	1	-	-	10	4	1	2	False	66	25	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	0	-	-	-	4	-	1	1
👤 Marko Ivezić	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	16	6	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	24	19	F	7.2	True	0	-	1	-	2	-	8	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Robert Wagner	1	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	45	39	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	29	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	0	1	-	1	4	3	1	1	False	24	7	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Karlsruher SC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Müller	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	62	16	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Christoph Kobald	1	-	1	-	7	3	2	-	False	62	22	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 David Herold	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	90	20	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	41	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Dženis Burnić	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	1	False	90	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Fabian Schleusener	0	-	-	-	5	2	3	-	False	69	24	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Hans Christian Bernat	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	3	1	-	-	32	-	36	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Opitz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lilian Egloff	1	-	1	-	11	3	3	1	False	90	25	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	23	2	31	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Marcel Beifus	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	28	4	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marcel Franke	0	-	-	-	10	6	2	1	False	90	28	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	72	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Marvin Wanitzek	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	3	63	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Mateo Kritzer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolai Rapp	0	-	-	-	9	5	2	3	False	69	6	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Philipp Forster	0	-	1	-	4	2	1	2	False	28	11	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	4	False	45	36	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Robert Geller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Himmelmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roko Šimić	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	21	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sebastian Jung	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	45	2	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shio Fukuda	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	21	13	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC	3-0	31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	3-0	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.7%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

32.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.54

Karlsruher SC 1.36

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

Karlsruher SC

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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