Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Düsseldorf

HT: 0–1

1. FC Nürnberg

03 Oct 2025

18:30

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Stadium

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Düsseldorf

Score Summary

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2 3

FT HT 0–1

1. FC Nürnberg

A. El Azzouzi 67'
C. Rasmussen 83'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

54% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1508 1500 ▼ -8

46% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 1479 1487 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.16 -0.18 ▼ -0.02

40% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 0.03 0.08 ▲ 0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Anouar El Azzouzi

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Anouar El Azzouzi

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Mohamed Ali Zoma

1. FC Nürnberg

6.5

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Tim Christopher Oberdorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.2

5 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fortuna Düsseldorf 50% 1. FC Nürnberg 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

12 Shots 17

7 On Target 7

Form Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

1. FC Nürnberg

W D L D W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
1. FC Nürnberg produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors 1. FC Nürnberg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 34.8%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 38.1%

Expected Goals 1.41 - 1.49

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

55 Possession 45

7 Shots 7

12 Shots 17

2 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 6

7 Shots On Goal 7

12 Total Shots 17

55 Ball Possession 45

441 Passes Accurate 362

519 Total Passes 432

85% Passes % 84%

3 Blocked Shots 4

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

14 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

1 Corner Kicks 2

10 Shots Insidebox 12

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	1	1	-	-	12	7	4	2	False	90	8	M	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	1	49	2	53	1	-	-	1	2	-	-	4
👤 Cedric Itten	0	1	2	-	11	3	2	-	False	90	13	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	1	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	5	-	2	7	4	-	1	False	23	10	F	8	True	0	0	-	1	-	8	1	10	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Danny Schmidt	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	45	22	F	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	0	-	1	-	7	3	1	2	False	67	19	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Florent Muslija	0	2	2	2	6	3	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	3	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	True	90	33	G	7.7	False	0	3	5	-	-	52	-	57	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Daland	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	81	2	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Jordy de Wijs	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	9	30	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Schmidt	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	13	4	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	1	2	1	8	4	-	1	False	77	25	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	-	2	-	10	6	2	2	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Sima Suso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	46	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	0	2	-	2	4	3	1	-	False	45	14	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tim Breithaupt	1	-	1	-	5	3	1	-	False	81	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	1	-	1	-	11	7	2	-	False	90	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	75	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	5
👤 Žan Celar	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

1. FC Nürnberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Markhiev	1	2	2	2	9	6	1	2	False	90	6	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	2	55	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Adriano Grimaldi	0	2	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	19	33	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayoub Chaikhoun	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Berkay Yılmaz	0	2	-	2	11	8	1	2	False	90	21	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Christian Mathenia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Porstner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Gruber	0	-	2	-	7	3	-	-	True	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	51	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Finn Ole Becker	1	3	-	1	6	3	1	2	False	90	25	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	1	44	-	49	-	-	0	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Jan Reichert	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	2	5	-	-	14	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Justvan	0	1	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	84	10	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	20	3	27	-	-	1	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Luka Lochoshvili	0	-	-	-	9	8	-	2	False	90	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	54	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mickaël Biron	0	1	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	13	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Mohamed Ali Zoma	0	6	1	3	17	4	4	1	False	84	23	F	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	3	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ondrej Karafiat	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pape Diop	0	3	-	3	8	7	1	1	False	77	20	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	25	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Rafael Lubach	0	1	1	-	8	2	1	2	False	90	18	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	-	26	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Robin Knoche	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	19	31	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semir Telalović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Drexler	0	2	1	-	6	1	-	1	False	90	15	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	40	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Tim Janisch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1. FC Nürnberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg	2-3	31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2-3	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1. FC Nürnberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

34.8%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

38.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.41

1. FC Nürnberg 1.49

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1. FC Nürnberg

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)