Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC

2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden

HT: 1–2

Karlsruher SC

04 Oct 2025

20:30

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Stadium

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Dresden, Germany

Capacity: 32066 Surface: grass Address: Lennéstraße 12

Score Summary

Dynamo Dresden

3 3

FT HT 1–2

Karlsruher SC

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

44% Win

Dynamo Dresden 1480 1481 ▲ 1

56% Win

Karlsruher SC 1520 1520 ▼ -1

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

Dynamo Dresden 0.09 0.06 ▼ -0.03

35% Win

Karlsruher SC 0.01 -0.56 ▼ -0.57

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nils Fröling

Dynamo Dresden

8.3

8.3 rating · 74 min

Most Clinical

Nils Fröling

Dynamo Dresden

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Rafael Pinto Pedrosa

Karlsruher SC

6.7

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

David Herold

Karlsruher SC

6.3

4 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Dynamo Dresden 40% Karlsruher SC 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

13 Shots 22

4 On Target 6

Form Context

Dynamo Dresden

L L W W L

Karlsruher SC

W L W L L

Smart Insight

Karlsruher SC carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Karlsruher SC produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.7%

Draw 26.8%

Away Win 30.5%

Expected Goals 1.59 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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55 Possession 45

4 Shots 6

13 Shots 22

1 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 8

4 Shots On Goal 6

13 Total Shots 22

55 Ball Possession 45

352 Passes Accurate 280

437 Total Passes 351

81% Passes % 80%

3 Blocked Shots 8

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

10 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 7

8 Shots Insidebox 18

5 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Dynamo Dresden — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aljaž Casar	0	1	1	1	10	4	2	2	False	90	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	48	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Christoph Daferner	0	-	-	-	16	9	1	2	False	68	33	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	13	-	-	-	1	3	2	-	1
👤 Claudio Kammerknecht	0	1	1	1	10	8	1	1	False	90	15	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	1	81	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Dominik Kother	0	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	22	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jakob Lemmer	0	1	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	22	10	M	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jan Hendrik Marx	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	26	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jonas Oehmichen	0	3	-	2	11	5	-	-	False	68	25	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	12	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Julian Pauli	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Kofi Jeremy Amoako	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	45	6	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Konrad Faber	0	1	1	-	8	2	1	1	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Lars Bünning	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennart Grill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Herrmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Boeder	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	45	29	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Niklas Hauptmann	0	2	2	1	11	4	1	1	True	90	27	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	2
👤 Nils Fröling	0	1	-	1	10	5	2	1	False	74	16	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	2	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Sascha Risch	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	3	False	79	28	D	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	25	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Stefan Kutschke	1	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	16	30	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Schreiber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	3	2	-	-	29	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tony Menzel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Karlsruher SC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Müller	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	14	16	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Christoph Kobald	0	-	1	-	10	4	-	-	False	90	22	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	43	-	-	-	1	1	2	1	1
👤 David Herold	0	2	2	2	15	8	-	-	False	90	20	D	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	33	3	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Dženis Burnić	0	1	-	1	7	5	1	2	False	90	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Fabian Schleusener	0	1	-	1	9	6	1	2	False	89	24	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	1	18	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	-
👤 Hans Christian Bernat	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	3	1	-	-	18	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Opitz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lilian Egloff	0	3	-	-	8	2	2	-	False	84	25	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	2	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Marcel Beifus	1	2	-	2	14	9	3	1	False	90	4	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	-	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Marvin Wanitzek	0	3	1	-	9	4	-	1	True	90	10	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	4	41	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Mateo Kritzer	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	34	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolai Rapp	0	-	-	-	9	3	1	-	False	90	6	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Paul Scholl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Forster	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	76	11	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	23	1	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	0	2	-	1	9	5	2	3	False	90	36	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	5	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Robert Geller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Himmelmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roko Šimić	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shio Fukuda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Dynamo Dresden and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC	3-3	31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden	3-3	31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Dynamo Dresden and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.7%

Home Win

26.8%

Draw

30.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Dynamo Dresden 1.59

Karlsruher SC 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Dynamo Dresden

Karlsruher SC

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)