1. FC Magdeburg vs SV Elversberg

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 0–2

SV Elversberg

05 Oct 2025

13:30

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

0 4

FT HT 0–2

SV Elversberg

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

42% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1474 1468 ▼ -6

58% Win

SV Elversberg 1528 1535 ▲ 6

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

1. FC Magdeburg -0.01 0.21 ▲ 0.22

33% Win

SV Elversberg -0.10 0.33 ▲ 0.44

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bambasé Conté

SV Elversberg

9.6

9.6 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Jarzinho Malanga

SV Elversberg

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Bambasé Conté

SV Elversberg

9.6

7 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Maximilian Rohr

SV Elversberg

7.7

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 38% SV Elversberg 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

15 Shots 20

5 On Target 8

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

SV Elversberg

W D L W D

Smart Insight

SV Elversberg carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SV Elversberg produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SV Elversberg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.0%

Draw 26.4%

Away Win 27.5%

Expected Goals 1.66 - 1.24

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	0-4	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

56 Possession 44

5 Shots 8

15 Shots 20

3 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 6

5 Shots On Goal 8

15 Total Shots 20

56 Ball Possession 44

376 Passes Accurate 268

439 Total Passes 338

86% Passes % 79%

4 Blocked Shots 6

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

12 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

7 Corner Kicks 13

10 Shots Insidebox 14

5 Shots Outsidebox 6

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abu-Bekir Ömer El-Zein	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ado Onaiwu	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	29	45	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	7	2	4	16	7	2	1	False	90	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	5	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Baris Atik	1	6	1	3	17	8	2	1	False	90	23	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	46	-	-	-	1	3	-	3	2
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	18	6	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	4	4	-	-	41	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	0	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	13	21	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	-	1	-	9	4	1	-	False	90	24	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	58	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	3	-	3	11	8	1	1	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	61	19	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luka Hyryläinen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	-	False	90	16	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	2	54	-	-	-	-	1	3	1	2
👤 Max Geschwill	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	18	28	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	1	-	-	6	1	-	1	False	84	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	2	16	-	-	-	1	1	2	1	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	29	27	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	61	29	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	2	13	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Samuel Loric	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	1	-	-	9	5	3	1	False	72	25	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Tobias Müller	0	-	1	-	7	3	-	-	False	72	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3

SV Elversberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amara Condé	0	1	-	-	7	2	1	1	True	64	6	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Bambasé Conté	0	5	-	3	19	15	-	5	False	89	10	M	9.6	False	2	-	1	-	24	7	27	-	-	-	3	4	-	2	4
👤 Carlo Sickinger	0	-	2	-	7	5	-	-	False	26	23	M	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Daniel Pantschenko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Keidel	0	1	2	-	8	2	1	1	False	90	43	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	45	4	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Florian Le Joncour	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	-	False	90	3	D	8	False	0	-	-	-	20	1	28	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	-
👤 Frederik Schmahl	0	1	2	-	5	1	-	-	False	26	17	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jarzinho Malanga	0	2	1	-	6	2	-	1	False	11	14	M	7.7	True	0	-	1	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jason Ceka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	11	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Schnellbacher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Petkov	1	1	1	1	9	5	1	-	False	63	25	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	12	1	21	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Manuel Feil	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Rohr	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	1	False	90	31	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	31	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	4
👤 Nicholas Mickelson	1	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	64	2	D	7.7	False	1	-	-	-	16	2	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Kristof	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	False	90	20	G	8.3	False	0	4	-	-	29	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Otto Stange	0	2	-	1	6	4	-	1	False	27	9	F	7	True	0	-	1	-	1	1	9	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Tim Boss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Zimmerschied	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	79	29	M	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	15	1	16	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Younes Ebnoutalib	0	1	-	1	8	3	-	-	False	90	22	F	6	False	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Łukasz Poręba	0	-	3	-	7	2	-	1	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and SV Elversberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	0-4	31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	0-4	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and SV Elversberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.0%

Home Win

26.4%

Draw

27.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.66

SV Elversberg 1.24

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

SV Elversberg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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