Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

HT: 0–2

FC Schalke 04

05 Oct 2025

13:30

SchücoArena

Stadium

SchücoArena

Bielefeld, Germany

Capacity: 27300 Surface: grass Address: Melanchthonstr. 31a

Score Summary

Arminia Bielefeld

1 2

FT HT 0–2

FC Schalke 04

M. Grosser 48'

11' C. Antwi-Adjei
18' H. Kurucay

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1501 1494 ▼ -7

53% Win

FC Schalke 04 1521 1528 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.06 0.07 ▲ 0.01

34% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.07 0.57 ▲ 0.50

Top Performers

Top Rated

Hasan Kuruçay

FC Schalke 04

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Maximilian Großer

Arminia Bielefeld

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Christopher Lannert

Arminia Bielefeld

7.3

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Hasan Kuruçay

FC Schalke 04

8.2

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arminia Bielefeld 50% FC Schalke 04 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

70 Possession 30

11 Shots 11

4 On Target 4

Form Context

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors FC Schalke 04 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.0%

Draw 26.7%

Away Win 29.3%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.29

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	1-2	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

70 Possession 30

4 Shots 4

11 Shots 11

11 Offsides 4

3 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 4

11 Total Shots 11

70 Ball Possession 30

409 Passes Accurate 116

520 Total Passes 224

79% Passes % 52%

4 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

16 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 2

9 Shots Insidebox 8

2 Shots Outsidebox 3

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	1	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	13	27	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	1	1	1	11	6	1	3	False	90	24	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	4	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	1	1	1	9	6	1	1	False	90	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Florian Micheler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaiah Young	0	2	-	-	7	3	1	3	False	45	30	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	2	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Felix	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	False	45	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	1	3	-	-	14	3	3	1	False	73	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	5	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	2	-	-	34	-	48	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Kania	0	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	17	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	-	-	-	8	7	-	1	False	90	23	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	1	88	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Kunze	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	1	1	-	1	7	2	1	1	True	90	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Wörl	0	1	-	-	8	2	1	-	False	89	38	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	26	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	1	-	15	11	1	-	False	90	19	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	55	-	63	-	-	-	2	4	-	2	1
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	6	-	1	16	3	3	2	False	85	14	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	7	1	13	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Monti Theiß	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philip Hildesheim	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sam Schreck	1	1	1	-	8	3	1	1	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vincent Ocansey	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	9	45	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrian Gantenbein	1	-	2	-	8	4	1	2	False	80	17	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Amin Younes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anton Donkor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Lasme	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	21	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Antwi-Adjei	0	1	-	1	8	3	-	1	False	69	18	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	4	3	8	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	-
👤 Felipe Sánchez	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	10	2	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Finn Porath	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	10	27	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	0	-	1	-	15	12	2	1	False	90	4	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	-	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	7
👤 Henning Matriciani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janik Bachmann	0	1	-	1	7	2	1	-	False	21	14	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Justin Heekeren	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	0	2	-	1	14	5	-	-	True	90	19	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	17	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Loris Karius	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	13	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mauro Zalazar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	0	-	-	-	11	6	3	2	False	90	43	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Moussa Sylla	0	-	-	-	9	3	-	-	False	69	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	9	1	12	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Katić	0	-	-	-	12	10	-	2	False	90	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Ron Schallenberg	0	1	-	-	7	5	-	1	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	0	-	-	-	9	4	1	3	False	90	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	15	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	-
👤 Vitalie Becker	1	2	1	1	13	8	3	1	False	80	33	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	8	2	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	1-2	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	1-2	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.0%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

29.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arminia Bielefeld 1.61

FC Schalke 04 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arminia Bielefeld

FC Schalke 04

SchücoArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

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CatBoost Prediction

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