SC Paderborn 07 vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 1–2

Arminia Bielefeld

18 Oct 2025

13:00

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

4 3

FT HT 1–2

Arminia Bielefeld

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1533 1540 ▲ 7

44% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1494 1487 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

45% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.15 0.46 ▲ 0.32

35% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.05 0.07 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Steffen Tigges

SC Paderborn 07

8.7

8.7 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Steffen Tigges

SC Paderborn 07

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

7.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Raphael Obermair

SC Paderborn 07

7.6

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 69% Arminia Bielefeld 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

20 Shots 16

9 On Target 4

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Smart Insight

SC Paderborn 07 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
SC Paderborn 07 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.7%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 31.4%

Expected Goals 1.57 - 1.33

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	4-3	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

50 Possession 50

9 Shots 4

20 Shots 16

4 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 8

9 Shots On Goal 4

20 Total Shots 16

50 Ball Possession 50

296 Passes Accurate 278

392 Total Passes 379

76% Passes % 73%

8 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

20 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 3

8 Corner Kicks 5

17 Shots Insidebox 9

3 Shots Outsidebox 7

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	0	-	3	-	12	7	1	1	False	89	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	50	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.3	False	0	3	1	-	-	15	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	1	-	11	6	-	1	True	90	20	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	82	7	F	7.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	11	2	15	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	1	1	-	1	12	5	4	1	False	90	17	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	5	37	1	-	0	-	2	3	-	2	1
👤 Luis Engelns	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	3	False	8	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marco Wörner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	1	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	22	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	44	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Mika Baur	0	4	1	1	10	5	1	2	False	82	14	M	8.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	30	4	37	-	-	0	1	2	2	-	2	-
👤 Nick Bätzner	1	2	2	-	11	3	3	1	False	45	9	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Raphael Obermair	1	3	2	2	14	9	1	1	False	90	23	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	2	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Ruben Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	2	-	-	8	4	1	2	False	90	5	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	56	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Sebastian Klaas	1	2	-	1	8	2	1	1	False	45	26	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	1	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Marino	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	False	8	30	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	5	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	2	1	-	17	6	5	-	False	89	27	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	2	3	10	1	13	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	25	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	24	27	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	-	-	-	11	10	-	2	False	66	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	7
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Micheler	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	17	20	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Isaiah Young	0	2	-	2	3	3	-	1	False	24	30	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	4	1	2	13	3	1	-	False	66	11	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	1	1	7	1	12	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	4	5	-	-	17	-	30	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Kania	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	11	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	-	1	-	9	5	-	2	False	90	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	54	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mael Corboz	0	1	2	-	14	3	3	-	True	90	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	24	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Marius Wörl	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	2	False	89	38	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	27	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Mehlem	0	1	-	-	12	6	3	2	False	83	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	10	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	13	9	-	5	False	90	19	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	40	-	-	0	1	-	1	2	-	1
👤 Monju Momuluh	1	5	-	2	11	5	1	3	False	66	14	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	1	12	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	24	37	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sam Schreck	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	55	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Tim Handwerker	1	4	1	3	13	8	2	2	False	90	29	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	38	1	47	-	-	1	-	1	5	4	1	1
👤 Vincent Ocansey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	4-3	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	4-3	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.7%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

31.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.57

Arminia Bielefeld 1.33

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

Arminia Bielefeld

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

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