1. FC Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg

HT: 1–0

Holstein Kiel

28' M. A. Zoma
86' C. Johansson

19 Oct 2025

13:30

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Stadium

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Nürnberg, Germany

Capacity: 50000 Surface: grass Address: Max-Morlock-Platz 1

Score Summary

1. FC Nürnberg

1 1

FT HT 1–0

Holstein Kiel

M. A. Zoma 28'

86' C. Johansson

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 1487 1488 ▲ 0

53% Win

Holstein Kiel 1505 1504 ▼ 0

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 0.02 0.08 ▲ 0.06

37% Win

Holstein Kiel 0.04 -0.27 ▼ -0.30

Top Performers

Top Rated

Carl Johansson

Holstein Kiel

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mohamed Ali Zoma

1. FC Nürnberg

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Julian Justvan

1. FC Nürnberg

7.5

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Steven Skrzybski

Holstein Kiel

7.0

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Nürnberg 60% Holstein Kiel 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

40 Possession 60

16 Shots 12

6 On Target 4

Form Context

1. FC Nürnberg

W D L D W

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

1. FC Nürnberg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
1. FC Nürnberg generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.2%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 33.7%

Expected Goals 1.51 - 1.39

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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40 Possession 60

6 Shots 4

16 Shots 12

3 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 4

16 Total Shots 12

40 Ball Possession 60

300 Passes Accurate 457

355 Total Passes 534

85% Passes % 86%

7 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

8 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 7

12 Shots Insidebox 6

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Nürnberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Markhiev	1	3	2	2	17	8	3	5	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Adriano Grimaldi	0	-	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	31	33	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Artem Stepanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Berkay Yılmaz	0	2	1	-	8	3	-	2	False	90	21	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	3	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Christian Mathenia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Porstner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Gruber	1	-	-	-	8	6	-	-	True	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Finn Ole Becker	1	1	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	90	25	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jan Reichert	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	3	-	-	28	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Justvan	0	2	2	-	9	3	1	2	False	89	10	F	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	18	3	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luka Lochoshvili	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	-	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Mickaël Biron	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Mohamed Ali Zoma	0	2	-	1	8	5	-	2	False	76	23	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	1
👤 Ondrej Karafiat	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pape Diop	0	-	4	-	7	3	-	1	False	59	20	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Rafael Lubach	0	3	-	1	10	4	1	1	False	90	18	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	25	2	29	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	2
👤 Robin Knoche	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semir Telalović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Drexler	0	1	1	1	6	3	1	-	False	90	15	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	2
👤 Tim Janisch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	32	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	1	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	69	20	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	2	1	1	13	6	3	3	False	90	11	M	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	35	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Carl Johansson	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	5	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	98	-	102	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 David Zec	1	1	2	1	9	5	2	1	False	90	26	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	70	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	21	G	6.9	False	0	1	5	-	-	36	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	45	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	-	-	-	7	4	2	2	False	62	15	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	3	-	3	9	5	2	-	False	62	23	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Magnus Knudsen	0	1	-	1	6	5	-	1	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	70	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Marcus Müller	0	-	-	-	3	1	2	-	False	28	25	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	21	29	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	45	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Robert Wagner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	39	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	1	-	5	1	2	-	False	28	22	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	0	3	1	2	16	8	2	-	True	89	7	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	5
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Nürnberg and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg	1-1	31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	1-1	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Nürnberg and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.2%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

33.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Nürnberg 1.51

Holstein Kiel 1.39

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Nürnberg

Holstein Kiel

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)