SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC

2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

HT: 0–2

Karlsruher SC

24 Oct 2025

18:30

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Stadium

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Fürth, Germany

Capacity: 18000 Surface: grass Address: Laubenweg 60

Score Summary

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1 4

FT HT 0–2

Karlsruher SC

B. Hrgota 90'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1492 1482 ▼ -9

53% Win

Karlsruher SC 1512 1521 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.01 -0.26 ▼ -0.25

37% Win

Karlsruher SC 0.02 -0.56 ▼ -0.59

Top Performers

Top Rated

Marvin Wanitzek

Karlsruher SC

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Marvin Wanitzek

Karlsruher SC

9.5

2 goals

Best Creator

Felix Klaus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Rafael Pinto Pedrosa

Karlsruher SC

6.7

5 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 38% Karlsruher SC 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

16 Shots 13

5 On Target 8

Form Context

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Karlsruher SC

W L W L L

Smart Insight

Karlsruher SC carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Karlsruher SC after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.5%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 34.4%

Expected Goals 1.50 - 1.40

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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54 Possession 46

5 Shots 8

16 Shots 13

0 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 4

5 Shots On Goal 8

16 Total Shots 13

54 Ball Possession 46

404 Passes Accurate 337

488 Total Passes 429

83% Passes % 79%

5 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

7 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 3

9 Corner Kicks 5

9 Shots Insidebox 6

7 Shots Outsidebox 7

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	1	1	1	5	2	1	1	False	69	16	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	3	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Branimir Hrgota	2	-	1	6	3	1	2	False	21	10	F	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 David Abrangao	4	-	1	11	5	2	2	False	69	40	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Dennis Srbeny	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Higl	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	69	18	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Felix Klaus	3	-	1	6	3	1	1	True	90	30	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	2	39	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Gian-Luca Itter	1	2	1	10	8	-	2	False	90	27	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	85	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Jannik Dehm	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jomaine Consbruch	2	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	21	14	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Juan Cabrera	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Green	1	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	21	37	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Lukas Reich	2	1	1	8	3	-	2	False	90	2	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	48	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Marco John	6	1	2	13	7	-	-	False	90	24	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Mathias Olesen	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Dietz	2	1	1	5	1	1	-	False	83	33	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Noah König	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	17	D	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Noel Futkeu	-	-	-	3	3	-	3	False	83	9	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Omar Sillah	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	15	42	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pelle Boevink	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	6.2	False	0	4	4	-	-	27	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silas Prüfrock	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Karlsruher SC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Müller	0	-	2	-	6	2	1	-	False	32	16	M	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	23	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Christoph Kobald	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	86	22	D	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	41	2	47	-	-	-	-	1	2	2	1
👤 David Herold	0	1	2	1	8	4	1	1	False	90	20	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	37	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2
👤 Dženis Burnić	0	-	1	-	9	4	2	1	False	73	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Eymen Laghrissi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Schleusener	0	3	-	2	10	5	1	1	False	86	24	F	7.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	10	2	18	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Hans Christian Bernat	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	4	-	-	23	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Opitz	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	12	17	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lilian Egloff	0	1	1	1	6	3	1	1	False	58	25	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	1	12	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marcel Beifus	1	-	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	54	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marvin Wanitzek	1	-	1	-	9	5	1	-	True	90	10	M	9.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	24	3	35	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	3
👤 Mateo Kritzer	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	17	34	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nicolai Rapp	1	-	1	-	4	-	2	-	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	-
👤 Paul Scholl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	15	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Philipp Forster	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	74	11	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	0	1	1	1	15	9	3	2	False	90	36	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	5
👤 Robert Geller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Himmelmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roko Šimić	0	2	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	16	9	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Shio Fukuda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC	1-4	31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1-4	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.5%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

34.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.50

Karlsruher SC 1.40

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Karlsruher SC

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

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CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

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