Dynamo Dresden vs SC Paderborn 07

2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden

HT: 1–1

SC Paderborn 07

25 Oct 2025

13:00

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Stadium

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Dresden, Germany

Capacity: 32066 Surface: grass Address: Lennéstraße 12

Score Summary

Dynamo Dresden

1 2

FT HT 1–1

SC Paderborn 07

C. Daferner 26'

45' F. Bilbija
65' M. Baur

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

42% Win

Dynamo Dresden 1481 1473 ▼ -8

58% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1540 1548 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Dynamo Dresden 0.08 0.06 ▼ -0.02

37% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.15 0.46 ▲ 0.31

Top Performers

Top Rated

Mika Baur

SC Paderborn 07

7.9

7.9 rating · 83 min

Most Clinical

Christoph Daferner

Dynamo Dresden

6.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Raphael Obermair

SC Paderborn 07

6.6

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Claudio Kammerknecht

Dynamo Dresden

6.5

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Dynamo Dresden 43% SC Paderborn 07 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

8 Shots 12

3 On Target 4

Form Context

Dynamo Dresden

L L W W L

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Smart Insight

SC Paderborn 07 carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SC Paderborn 07 produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.3%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 35.6%

Expected Goals 1.47 - 1.43

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	1-2	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

46 Possession 54

3 Shots 4

8 Shots 12

2 Offsides 2

3 Shots Off Goal 5

3 Shots On Goal 4

8 Total Shots 12

46 Ball Possession 54

281 Passes Accurate 384

361 Total Passes 457

78% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

10 Corner Kicks 4

5 Shots Insidebox 8

3 Shots Outsidebox 4

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Dynamo Dresden — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Rossipal	0	-	1	-	9	6	-	2	False	90	19	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	30	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Aljaž Casar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christoph Daferner	0	-	1	-	9	1	2	1	False	70	33	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	11	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Claudio Kammerknecht	0	2	-	1	12	8	-	-	False	90	15	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	43	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	5
👤 Daniel Mesenholer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Kother	1	2	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	20	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakob Lemmer	0	1	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	13	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Hendrik Marx	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Oehmichen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kofi Jeremy Amoako	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	20	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Konrad Faber	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	77	2	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	-	21	1	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Lars Bünning	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	-	False	90	23	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	42	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Lennart Grill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	6.7	False	0	2	2	-	-	27	-	38	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Herrmann	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	15	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lukas Boeder	0	-	2	-	8	4	-	2	False	90	29	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	59	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Niklas Hauptmann	0	2	-	1	12	7	-	3	True	84	27	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Nils Fröling	0	2	-	1	8	4	-	-	False	70	16	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Tony Menzel	0	1	-	1	6	4	1	3	False	70	24	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincent Vermeij	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	20	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinko Šapina	0	-	-	-	8	1	-	-	False	90	5	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	54	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 David Kinsombi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	41	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	30	-	41	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	-	-	7	6	1	2	True	90	20	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	1	67	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	-
👤 Filip Bilbija	1	1	-	-	9	5	1	1	False	89	7	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	1	19	-	-	1	-	1	1	1	1	3
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	3	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	1	3	1	1	15	7	2	1	False	90	17	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	32	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Lucas Copado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Engelns	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	27	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Marco Wörner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	1	-	1	5	5	-	-	False	90	22	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	53	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mika Baur	0	-	2	-	5	2	1	1	False	83	14	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	48	-	51	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	4	-	-	8	1	2	-	False	63	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	89	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	3	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ruben Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	1	-	-	6	4	2	1	False	90	5	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	44	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Stefano Marino	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	16	30	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	5	1	2	15	4	2	-	False	90	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	1	9	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	2	-	-	12	7	2	-	False	90	25	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	64	1	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Dynamo Dresden and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	1-2	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden	1-2	31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Dynamo Dresden and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.3%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

35.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Dynamo Dresden 1.47

SC Paderborn 07 1.43

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Dynamo Dresden

SC Paderborn 07

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)