Arminia Bielefeld vs SV Elversberg

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

HT: 2–0

SV Elversberg

17' J. Grodowski
28' F. Le Joncour

25 Oct 2025

13:00

SchücoArena

Stadium

SchücoArena

Bielefeld, Germany

Capacity: 27300 Surface: grass Address: Melanchthonstr. 31a

Score Summary

Arminia Bielefeld

2 0

FT HT 2–0

SV Elversberg

J. Grodowski 17'
F. Le Joncour 28'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

42% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1487 1499 ▲ 12

58% Win

SV Elversberg 1542 1530 ▼ -12

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.05 0.07 ▲ 0.02

33% Win

SV Elversberg -0.09 0.33 ▲ 0.42

Top Performers

Top Rated

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Joel Grodowski

Arminia Bielefeld

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.2

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arminia Bielefeld 50% SV Elversberg 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

31 Possession 69

10 Shots 16

2 On Target 2

Form Context

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

SV Elversberg

W D L W D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
SV Elversberg produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Arminia Bielefeld after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.0%

Draw 26.5%

Away Win 27.5%

Expected Goals 1.66 - 1.24

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	2-0	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

31 Possession 69

2 Shots 2

10 Shots 16

1 Offsides 2

4 Shots Off Goal 5

2 Shots On Goal 2

10 Total Shots 16

31 Ball Possession 69

174 Passes Accurate 513

249 Total Passes 588

70% Passes % 87%

4 Blocked Shots 9

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

13 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 6

9 Shots Insidebox 9

1 Shots Outsidebox 7

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	17	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Boakye	1	3	-	2	10	8	1	2	False	83	27	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	23	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	24	2	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Florian Micheler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isaiah Young	0	3	-	2	6	4	1	1	False	24	30	F	7	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joel Felix	1	-	-	-	5	2	3	-	False	83	3	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	3	-	1	15	7	3	1	False	66	11	F	8	False	0	-	1	-	5	1	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	2	-	-	15	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Kania	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	7	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	1	2	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	90	23	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Mael Corboz	0	-	2	-	10	7	1	1	True	90	6	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	16	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	4
👤 Marius Wörl	0	1	4	-	12	5	1	2	False	90	38	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	22	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	90	19	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	2	2	2	-
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	2	1	-	10	4	2	-	False	66	14	M	6.6	False	1	-	-	-	9	1	15	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	3
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	-	-	-	9	5	1	2	False	86	37	F	7	False	0	-	-	-	6	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Sam Schreck	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	14	8	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tim Handwerker	0	-	1	-	7	6	-	-	False	90	29	D	8.2	False	0	-	-	-	10	3	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	5
👤 Vincent Ocansey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SV Elversberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amara Condé	0	2	-	2	9	3	3	-	True	59	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	3	26	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Bambasé Conté	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Keidel	0	3	1	-	8	-	2	-	False	90	43	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	77	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	-
👤 Florian Le Joncour	0	2	-	1	13	9	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	91	1	103	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Frederik Schmahl	1	1	-	-	11	6	1	1	False	90	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	2	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Jan Gyamerah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarzinho Malanga	0	5	-	1	11	3	1	1	False	31	14	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jason Ceka	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	18	11	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Günther	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	59	21	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Luca Schnellbacher	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	24	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Finn Pinckert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Petkov	0	5	1	3	9	5	-	2	False	72	25	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Maximilian Rohr	1	-	1	-	5	2	1	1	False	90	31	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	85	1	86	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Nicholas Mickelson	0	1	-	1	7	3	2	1	False	31	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Nicolas Kristof	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	20	G	6.7	False	0	2	1	-	-	30	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Otto Stange	0	2	-	-	6	1	1	-	False	18	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Boss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Zimmerschied	0	1	2	1	10	4	1	1	False	72	29	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	36	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Younes Ebnoutalib	0	1	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	79	22	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Łukasz Poręba	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	3	False	90	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	1	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and SV Elversberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	2-0	31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	2-0	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and SV Elversberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.0%

Home Win

26.5%

Draw

27.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arminia Bielefeld 1.66

SV Elversberg 1.24

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arminia Bielefeld

SV Elversberg

SchücoArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

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CatBoost Prediction

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