SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 1–0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

02 Nov 2025

13:30

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

2 1

FT HT 1–0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L. Curda 37'
F. Bilbija 64'

90' O. Sillah

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

59% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1537 1545 ▲ 8

41% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1473 1465 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.14 0.46 ▲ 0.33

36% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.01 -0.26 ▼ -0.24

Top Performers

Top Rated

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

8.3

8.3 rating · 77 min

Most Clinical

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Raphael Obermair

SC Paderborn 07

7.7

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

8.3

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 46% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 54%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

14 Shots 20

6 On Target 7

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Smart Insight

SpVgg Greuther Fürth carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 40.2%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 32.8%

Expected Goals 1.53 - 1.37

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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54 Possession 46

6 Shots 7

14 Shots 20

0 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 5

6 Shots On Goal 7

14 Total Shots 20

54 Ball Possession 46

374 Passes Accurate 292

471 Total Passes 401

79% Passes % 73%

3 Blocked Shots 8

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

15 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 5

9 Shots Insidebox 9

5 Shots Outsidebox 11

1.84 expected_goals 1.43

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	41	G	7.5	False	0	1	5	-	-	33	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	1	True	90	20	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	59	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	6	-	2	9	5	-	3	False	90	7	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	-	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Laurin Curda	0	5	-	2	27	16	3	3	False	77	17	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	-	37	-	-	-	4	6	-	1	6
👤 Lucas Copado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Engelns	0	-	-	-	7	2	3	2	False	56	6	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marco Wörner	1	2	1	1	10	5	2	1	False	25	18	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	1	-	1	9	7	-	1	False	90	22	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Mika Baur	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	34	14	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	2	-	1	4	1	2	-	False	90	23	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ruben Müller	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	13	2	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	-	3	-	15	8	2	3	False	90	5	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	2
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	2	2	-	10	2	-	2	False	65	26	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	9	2	11	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Stefano Marino	0	1	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	65	30	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	2	-	2	8	6	-	-	False	25	27	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	-	-	-	10	3	1	-	False	77	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	0	-	1	-	6	1	1	1	False	17	16	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Branimir Hrgota	0	-	2	-	13	5	3	1	True	82	10	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	22	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 David Abrangao	0	2	1	-	21	9	2	2	False	73	40	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	5
👤 Dennis Srbeny	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Felix Higl	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	17	18	F	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	2	2	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Felix Klaus	0	-	1	-	14	10	1	4	False	90	30	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	27	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	4
👤 Gian-Luca Itter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakob Engel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Dehm	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jomaine Consbruch	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	17	14	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Green	0	3	1	1	12	6	1	2	False	82	37	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	3	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Lukas Reich	0	2	1	2	8	7	-	-	False	90	2	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	36	-	-	-	1	4	1	-	4
👤 Mathias Olesen	0	-	-	-	5	2	3	1	False	73	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Dietz	1	-	-	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	33	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	63	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	2
👤 Noel Futkeu	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	73	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	3	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omar Sillah	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	42	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pelle Boevink	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Ziereis	1	1	1	1	12	5	3	-	False	90	4	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Reno Münz	0	2	1	1	12	7	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Silas Prüfrock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	43	G	6.3	False	0	2	4	-	-	15	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2-1	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.2%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

32.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.53

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.37

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

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