1. FC Magdeburg vs SC Paderborn 07

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 0–1

SC Paderborn 07

9' S. Klaas

09 Nov 2025

13:30

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

0 1

FT HT 0–1

SC Paderborn 07

9' S. Klaas

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

41% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1480 1472 ▼ -8

59% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1545 1554 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

1. FC Magdeburg -0.05 0.21 ▲ 0.25

38% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.15 0.46 ▲ 0.32

Top Performers

Top Rated

Dominik Reimann

1. FC Magdeburg

7.6

7.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Sebastian Klaas

SC Paderborn 07

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Rayan Ghrieb

1. FC Magdeburg

7.5

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Mattes Hansen

SC Paderborn 07

7.5

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 33% SC Paderborn 07 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

57 Possession 43

17 Shots 12

3 On Target 6

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Smart Insight

SC Paderborn 07 carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
1. FC Magdeburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.3%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 36.6%

Expected Goals 1.45 - 1.45

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	0-1	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

57 Possession 43

3 Shots 6

17 Shots 12

0 Offsides 3

7 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 6

17 Total Shots 12

57 Ball Possession 43

445 Passes Accurate 300

532 Total Passes 408

84% Passes % 74%

7 Blocked Shots 2

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

10 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 5

12 Shots Insidebox 8

5 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.99 expected_goals 0.92

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom	0	1	-	-	8	3	-	-	False	62	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	1	5	-	3	11	7	-	3	False	90	17	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andi Hoti	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Krempicki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.6	False	0	1	5	-	-	53	-	58	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eldin Džogović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	1	1	-	1	8	6	1	4	False	77	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	40	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kandet Diawara	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	39	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	1	1	-	9	2	2	2	False	90	8	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	5	39	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Lubambo Musonda	1	1	-	1	4	1	2	-	False	90	19	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luka Hyryläinen	0	1	1	1	14	10	-	3	False	89	38	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	-	1	-	16	8	2	-	False	90	16	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	1	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Max Geschwill	0	-	-	-	10	2	1	1	False	90	28	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	84	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	28	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	2	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	13	10	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	27	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	1	2	-	1	11	4	2	1	False	90	29	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	6	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	1	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	89	25	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	44	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	2

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	7.2	False	0	4	-	-	25	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	1	-	1	-	10	7	1	1	True	90	20	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	34	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	20	7	M	6.7	False	1	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	2	False	45	3	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	1	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	False	45	17	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	8	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	1
👤 Lucas Copado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Engelns	0	2	2	1	14	10	-	3	False	70	6	M	7.2	True	0	-	-	1	25	2	30	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	3
👤 Marco Wörner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	1	False	90	22	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	38	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	2
👤 Mika Baur	1	-	2	-	8	2	2	-	False	90	14	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	37	1	45	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	-	-	-	8	3	-	1	False	44	9	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	1	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	90	23	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	23	3	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ruben Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	18	5	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	1	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	72	26	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	1	11	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Stefano Marino	0	2	1	1	6	2	-	-	False	45	30	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	1	-	-	19	13	3	1	False	90	27	F	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	19	-	32	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	2
👤 Sven Michel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	1	-	1	-	9	3	1	-	False	90	25	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	29	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	0-1	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	0-1	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.3%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

36.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.45

SC Paderborn 07 1.45

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

SC Paderborn 07

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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