Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 0–0

Fortuna Düsseldorf

57' K. Davidsen

09 Nov 2025

13:30

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Fortuna Düsseldorf

K. Davidsen 57'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

54% Win

Holstein Kiel 1502 1511 ▲ 9

46% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1475 1465 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Holstein Kiel 0.00 -0.27 ▼ -0.27

34% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.18 -0.18 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jonas Krumrey

Holstein Kiel

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Kasper Davidsen

Holstein Kiel

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Emmanuel Iyoha

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Kasper Davidsen

Holstein Kiel

8.0

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 40% Fortuna Düsseldorf 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

45 Possession 55

13 Shots 17

4 On Target 6

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Fortuna Düsseldorf produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Holstein Kiel after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.8%

Draw 26.6%

Away Win 28.6%

Expected Goals 1.63 - 1.27

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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45 Possession 55

4 Shots 6

13 Shots 17

2 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 6

13 Total Shots 17

45 Ball Possession 55

258 Passes Accurate 343

343 Total Passes 415

75% Passes % 83%

5 Blocked Shots 7

6 Goalkeeper Saves 3

9 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

3 Corner Kicks 5

6 Shots Insidebox 11

7 Shots Outsidebox 6

0.98 expected_goals 1.39

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	2	-	1	11	3	3	2	False	77	20	F	6	False	0	-	-	1	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	6	-	4	19	12	2	4	True	90	11	F	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	10	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Carl Johansson	0	-	-	-	7	2	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	4	-	1
👤 David Zec	0	1	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	26	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	32	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Tolkin	0	3	-	-	8	3	-	1	False	90	47	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	26	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Jonas Krumrey	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	21	G	8.2	False	0	6	-	-	29	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	5	1	4	11	7	-	1	False	68	10	F	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	12	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	1	3	-	16	9	-	4	False	90	15	M	8	False	0	-	1	1	35	2	42	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	4
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	-	-	-	8	3	2	-	False	84	23	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	7	2	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Louis Köster	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Magnus Knudsen	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	22	24	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	6	2	-	1	False	77	3	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	42	-	53	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Marcus Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	13	6	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	18	29	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Phil Harres	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	19	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Wagner	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	18	39	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	1	2	1	14	6	1	-	False	84	22	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	23	1	33	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	4
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	1	1	-	1	6	4	1	-	False	62	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	30	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Cedric Itten	0	-	-	-	16	12	1	-	False	90	13	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	11	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	2
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	74	10	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	15	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Danny Schmidt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elias Egouli	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	8	44	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	0	2	2	1	12	4	1	1	False	90	19	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	4	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Florent Muslija	0	5	1	2	11	4	1	1	False	90	24	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	3	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	33	G	7.2	False	0	1	3	-	-	30	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Daland	1	-	1	-	6	2	2	1	False	90	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	42	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jordy de Wijs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Schmidt	0	-	1	-	8	5	-	1	False	73	4	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luca Raimund	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	16	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	-	2	-	10	4	2	-	False	62	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	39	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	2	-	2	5	4	1	1	False	28	5	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	28	23	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sima Suso	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	17	46	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Breithaupt	0	-	-	-	11	7	1	1	False	82	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	4
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	1	-	3	-	13	7	3	1	False	90	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	3	3	3
👤 Žan Celar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	1-0	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	1-0	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.8%

Home Win

26.6%

Draw

28.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.63

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.27

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)